2010年韩国保险行业展望

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【出版时间及名称】：2010年韩国保险行业展望
        【作者】：德意志银行
        【文件格式】：PDF
        【页数】：29
        【目录或简介】：

Table of Contents
DecQ09 earnings preview................................................................. 3
Despite rising auto loss ratios, DecQ earnings should be solid … ...........................................3
Valuation ..................................................................................................................................4
Tong Yang Life: we expect 54% higher than consensus estimate ...........................................4
Meritz FM: 40% potential upside to consensus estimates.......................................................5
Hyundai MF: 36% upside potential to the consensus estimate ...............................................6
LIG Insurance: Likely to report higher-than-expected earnings .................................................6
Korean Re: In-line December result is likely ..............................................................................7
Dongbu Insurance: In-line result expected for DecQ09 ............................................................8
Samsung FM – slightly lower result expected ..........................................................................9
Life (long-term) insurance: strength to continue.......................... 10
Life insurance is still the growing and dominant business line ...............................................10
Controlled expense ratio to boost profitability ........................................................................10
Still strong premium growth to support profitability ...............................................................11
Life (long-term) insurance loss ratio to remain unchanged .....................................................13
Persistency and Surrender ratios a risk to long-term profitability............................................15
Rising auto loss ratio is not a significant problem....................... 17
The auto loss ratio is likely to rise during DecQ09-JunQ10.....................................................17
The auto insurance business is making less impact ...............................................................17
Auto insurance premium rate hike likely in the middle of 2010 ..............................................17
Larger insurers should better withstand the rate hike delay ...................................................18
Why do the auto loss ratios continue to rise?.........................................................................18
No significant impact from auto rationalization measures ......................................................21
Fire & marine business: stable in 2010E........................................ 22
10-15% YoY premium growth and stable loss ratio in 2010E .................................................22
Investment yield .............................................................................. 24
Net investment yields to decline 14bps YoY in FY10E............................................................24
Investment risks......................................................................................................................26

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关键词：保险行业 significant Investment persistenc Controlled 行业 展望 韩国

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