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Comparing Experimental and Matching Methods using a Large-Scale Field Experiment on Voter Mobilization

文献名称 Comparing Experimental and Matching Methods using a Large-Scale Field Experiment on Voter Mobilization
文献作者 Kevin Arceneaux , Alan S. Gerber , Donald P. Green
作者所在单位
文献分类 已发表文献
学科一级分类 经济
学科二级分类 行为与实验经济学
文献摘要 Randomized experimentation is the optimal research design for establishing causation. However, for a number of practical reasons, researchers are sometimes unable to conduct experiments and must rely on observational studies. In an effort to develop estimators that can approximate experimental results using observational data, scholars have given increasing attention to matching and closely related methods such as propensity score matching. In this paper, we test the performance of matching by gauging the success with which matching approximates experimental results. The voter mobilization experiment presented here comprises a large number of observations (60,000 randomly assigned to the treatment group and nearly two million assigned to the control group) and a rich set of covariates. This study is analyzed in two ways. The first method, instrumental variables estimation, takes advantage of random assignment in order to produce consistent estimates. The second method, matching estimation, ignores random assignment and analyzes the data as though they were nonexperimental. Matching is found to produce biased results in this application. The experimental findings show that brief paid get-out-the-vote phone calls do not increase turnout, while matching estimators show a significant positive effect.
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Abstract
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Abstract
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Abstract/FREE Full Text
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↵ Smith, Jeffrey, and Petra Todd. 2001. “Reconciling Conflicting Evidence on the Performance of Matching Methods?” American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings 91(2):112–118.
↵ Smith, Jeffrey, and Petra Todd. 2005. “Does Matching Overcome LaLonde's Critique of Nonexperimental Methods?” Journal of Econometrics 125(1-2):305–353.
关键字 Field Experiment
发表所在刊物(或来源) Political Analysis, 2006,Volume14, Issue1Pp. 37-62
发表时间 2006
适用研究领域
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