曾毅简介_研究领域_学术成果_北京大学中国经济研究中心教授-教师点评

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曾毅

教师照片
教师名称	曾毅
工作单位1（学校）	北京大学
工作单位2（院系）	中国经济研究中心
曾毅主要研究领域	人口经济学、老龄健康与经济发展、家庭人口预测分析方法及其在市场经济与社会规划中的应用、人口政策分析
职称	教授
职务
曾毅简介	2003.7 --现在：北京大学中国经济研究中心教授，博士生导师。 2001. 4―现在：北京大学老龄健康与家庭研究中心主任。 2002. 7―现在: 杜克大学中华人口与社会经济研究中心主任。 1997.1―现在：经北京大学校长办公会议正式批准，在担任北大正式在编教授同时应聘国外教授职务。 1989.5—现在：北京大学人口研究所教授, 博士生导师。经人事部批准为国家“百千万人才工程”入选者。 1987.8—1989.5：北京大学人口研究所副教授 1987.8—1993.1：北京大学人口研究所副所长。 1993.2—1998.6：北京大学人口研究所所长。 1992—1998：美国明尼苏达大学Humphrey 公共政策学院讲座教授（每年在该校客座讲学3个月）。 1991，1992，1994：美国耶鲁大学讲座教授（每年在该校客座讲学2-3个月）。 1986.9—1987.8：美国普林斯顿大学博士后研究人员。 1982.10—1986.8：比利时布鲁塞尔自由大学博士生。 1984.4—1986.8：荷兰人口研究所研究人员（从事博士论文研究）。 1978.9—1982.8：上海华东师范大学地理系学生。 1968.11—1969.9：江西彭泽县黄岭公社繁荣大队插队知青。 1969.9—1973.2：江西彭泽县黄岭公社繁荣小学教师。 1973.2—1978.8：江西彭泽县黄岭中学教师。
曾毅代表性学术成果	Books Written In English And Published In U.S. Or Europe: 1) Zeng Yi. 1990. User''''s Manual and software of "FAMY" --- A PC Computer program for Family Status Life Table Analysis. Groningen, The Netherlands: iec ProGAMMA (Inter-university Expert Center for Computer Software Development and Distribution). Note: This research book, including the software, was peer-reviewed before acceptance for publication. 2) Zeng Yi, Zhang Chunyuan and Peng Shongjian (eds.). 1990. Changing Family Structure and Population Aging in China: A Comparative Approach. Beijing: Peking University Press (also distributed by Peking University Press'''' partners in Western countries). 3) Zeng Yi. 1991. Family Dynamics in China: A Life Table Analysis. Wisconsin: The University of Wisconsin Press. Note: This research book was peer-reviewed before acceptance for publication. 4) Zeng Yi. 2004. Population Aging and Family Research. Beijing: Peking University Press (also distributed by Peking University Press'''' partners in Western countries). 5) Zeng Yi, Eileen Crimmins, Yves Carrière, Jean-Marie Robine (eds.). 2005. Longer Life and Healthy Aging. Dordrecht: Springer Publisher. 6) Zeng Yi, Gu Danan, Xiao Zhenyu, Tao Liqun. 2005. Graphics of Socio-Demographic and Health Profiles of Oldest-Old in China (in both English and Chinese). Beijing: China Population Press. 7) Jean-Marie Robine, Eileen M. Crimmins, Shiro Horiuchi, and Zeng Yi (eds.). 2006. Human Longevity, Individual Life Duration, and the Growth of the Oldest-Old Population. Dordrecht: Springer Publisher. 8) Zeng Yi, Dudley Poston, Denese Ashbaugh Vlosky, and Danan Gu (eds.). 2008. Healthy Longevity in China: Demographic, Socioeconomic, and Psychological Dimensions. Dordrecht: Springer Publisher. 用英语撰写，尚未正式出版的著作Book Manuscripts written in English and not yet published Manuscripts written in English, not yet published but have been used in training 1) Zeng Yi. 1996. Methods and Applications of Demographic Analysis. (Note: Zeng Yi used this unpublished text book manuscript to teach a demographic method course in English for Chinese and foreign graduate students at Peking University from 1992 to 1996; the faculty members at Peking University have been using it since 1996). 2) Zeng Yi and Wang Zhenglian. 1998 (version 1.0), 2005 (version 1.1). “ProFamy: a New Method and User-Friendly Computer Software for Family Household Projection.” Version 1.0 was presented, demonstrated, and used for training at the International Workshop on Family/Household Modeling and Applications, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, July 26 - August 2, 1998. Version 1.1. was used for training at the Summer School jointly organized by the International Union for Scientific Studies of Population and Max Planck Institute for Demographic Studies in Rostock, Germany, July, 2005. 用英语撰写，在北美、欧洲国际学术刊物（匿名评审）上发表的论文 1) Zeng Yi, J. Vaupel and A.Yashin. 1985. “Marriage and Fertility in China: A Graphical Analysis.” Population and Development Review 11: 721-36. 2) Zeng Yi. 1986 “Changes in Family Structure in China: a Simulation Study.” Population and Development Review 12:675-703. 3) Zeng Yi. 1988. “Changing Demographic Characteristics and the Family Status of Chinese Women.” Population Studies 42: 183-203. 4) Zeng Yi and J. Vaupel. 1989. “Impact of Urbanization and Delayed Childbearing on Population Growth and Aging in China.” Population and Development Review 15: 425:445. 5) Zeng Yi. 1989. “Is China''''s Family Planning Program Tightening Up?” Population and Development Review Vol. 15:333-337. 6) Zeng Yi. 1989. “Aging of the Chinese Population and the Policy Issues: Lessons Learned from a Rural-urban Dynamic Projection Model.” Referred and selected articles for publication in International Population Conference, Volume 3: 81-101. Liege: International Union for Scientific Studies of Population, 21st General Conference. 7) Zeng Yi, Tu Ping, Guo Liu and Xie Ying. 1991. “A Demographic Decomposition of Recent Increase in Crude Birth Rates in China.” Population and Development Review 17: 435-458. 8) James W. Vaupel and Zeng Yi. 1991. “Population Tradeoffs in China.” Policy Sciences 24: 389-406. 9) Zeng Yi, Tu Ping, Gu Baochang, Xu Yi, Li Bohua and Li Youngping. 1993. “An Analysis on Causes and Implications of Recent Increase in Sex Ratio at Births in China.” Population and Development Review 19: 283-302. 10) Zeng Yi, J.W. Vaupel, and Wang Zhenglian. 1993. “Marriage and Fertility in China: Recent Trends.” Genus Vol. IL:17-34. 11) Zeng Yi, and Wang Deming. 1993. “An Event History Analysis of Remarriage in China.” Selected and referred article for publication in: International Population Conference, Volume 3: 323-335. Liege: International Union for Scientific Studies of Population, 22nd General Conference. 12) Zeng Yi, A. Coale, M.K. Choe, Z. Liang, and L. Liu. 1994. “Leaving Parental Home: Census Based Estimates for China, Japan, South Korea, The United States, France, and Sweden.” Population Studies 48: 65-80. 13) Zeng Yi. 1995. “Aging in China: Progress and Policy Responses.” Reviews in Clinical Gerontology 5: 77-83. 14) Zeng Yi. 1995. “China''''s Agenda for an Old-age Insurance Program in Rural Areas.” Journal of Aging & Social Policy 6: 101-14. 15) Schultz, T. Paul and Zeng Yi. 1995. “Fertility of Rural China: Effects of Local Family Planning and Health Programs.” Population Economics 8: 329-50. 16) Ma, Z and K.L. LIAW and Zeng Yi. 1996. "Spousal Residence Separation Among Chinese Young Couples." Environment and Planning A 28: 877-8. 17) Zeng Yi. 1996. “Is Fertility in China in 1991-1992 Far Below the Replacement Level?” Population Studies Vol. 50: 27-34. 18) Ma, Z., K.L. Liaw, and Zeng Yi. 1997. "Migrations in the Urban/Rural Settlement System of China: Insights from the Micro Data of the 1987 National Survey." Environment and Planning A 29: 709-30. 19) Zeng Yi, James W. Vaupel, and Wang Zhenglian. 1997. “A Multidimensional Model for Projecting Family Households -- With an Illustrative Numerical Application.” Mathematical Population Studies 6: 187-216. 20) Zeng Yi. 1997. “Dilemmas of Family Size Norms in China.” Selected and referred article for publication in International Population Conference, Volume 3: 1405-1418. Liege: International Union for Scientific Studies of Population, 23rd General Conference. 21) Vaupel, J.W., J.R. Carey, K. Christensen, T.E. Johnson, A.I. Yashin, N.V. Holm, I.A. Iachine, V. Kannisto, A.A. Khazaeli, P. Liedo, V.D.Longo, Zeng Yi, K.G. Manton, and J.W. Curtsinger. 1998. “Biodemographic Trajectories of Longevity.” Science, 280: 855-60. 22) Zeng Yi, James W. Vaupel and Wang Zhenglian. 1998. “Household Projection Using Conventional Demographic Data.” Population and Development Review, Supplementary Issue: Frontiers of Population Forecasting. Volume 24: 59-87. 23) Wang Zhenglian, Zeng Yi, Bernard Jeune, and J.W. Vaupel. 1998. “Age Validation of Han Chinese Centenarians.” GENUS - An International Journal of Demography, Vol. LIV: 123-141. 24) Schultz, T. Paul and Zeng Yi. 1999. “The Impact of Institutional Reform from 1979 to 1987 on Fertility in Rural China.” Chinese Economic Review 10: 141-60. (The authors are listed alphabetically and share equally in the research design and analysis). 25) Zeng Yi, Wang Zhenglian, Ma Zhongdong, Chen Chunjun. 2000. “A Simple Method for Estimating a and b: An Extension of Brass Relational Gompertz Fertility Model.” Population Research and Policy Review, Volume 19, No. 6, pp. 525-549. 26) Zeng Yi and Linda George. 2000. “Family Dynamics of 63 Million (in 1990) to More Than 330 Million (in 2050) Elders in China.” Demographic Research, Vol. 2 (5). 27) Zeng Yi and Wu Deqing. 2000. “A Regional Analysis of Divorce in China Since 1980.” Demography, 37 (2): 215-219. 28) Zeng Yi and Jiang Leiwen. 2000. "Does Rapid Economic Growth Accompanied by Massive Migration Necessarily Result in Severe Environmental Pollution? -- A Case Study of Pear River Delta in China." Current Politics and Economics of China, Vol. 3, No. 3. Pp. 427-445. 29) Zeng Yi and Kenneth C. Land. 2001. “A Sensitivity Analysis of The Bongaarts-Feeney New Method for Adjusting Bias in Observed Period Total Fertility Rates.” Demography, 38 (1): 17-28. 30) Zeng Yi, James W. Vaupel, Xiao Zhenyu, Zhang Chunyuang and Liu Yuzhi. 2001. “The Healthy Longevity Survey and the Active Life Expectancy of the Oldest Old in China.” Population: An English Selection, 13(1): 95-116. 31) Zeng Yi, James W. Vaupel, Xiao Zhenyu, Zhang Chunyuang et Liu Yuzhi. 2001. “L’enquete sue la longevite en bonne sante: l’esperance de vie sans incapacite des personnes tres agees en Chine.” Population: Longevite, 56(1). 32) Zeng Yi and Linda George. 2002. “Extremely Rapid Aging and the Living Arrangement of Elderly Persons: the Case of China.” In Living Arrangements of Older Persons, Population Bulletin of the United Nations, Special Issue Nos. 42/43, New York: United Nations. 33) Zeng Yi and Kenneth C. Land. 2002. “Adjusting Period Tempo Changes – with an Extension of Ryder’s Basic Translation Equation.” Demography, Vol. 39, No. 2, pp. 269-285. 34) Zeng Yi. 2001. “A Demographic Analysis of Family Households in China, 1982-1995.” Journal of Comparative Family Studies. Vol. 33, No. 1, pp. 15-34. 35) Zeng Yi, James W. Vaupel, Xiao Zhenyu, Zhang Chunyuan and Liu Yuzhi. 2002. “Sociodemographic and Health Profiles of Oldest Old in China.” Population and Development Review, No. 2, Vol. 28. 36) Zeng Yi and James W. Vaupel. 2002. “Functional Capacity and Self-Evaluation of Health and Life of the Oldest Old in China.” Journal of Social Issues, 58: 733-748. 37) Zeng Yi, T. Paul Schultz, Wang Deming, and Gu Danan. 2002. “Association of Divorce with Socio-economic Covariates in China, 1955-1985: Event History Analysis based on Data collected in Shanghia, Hebei, and Shaanxi.” Demographic Research, Vol. 7, Article 11. 38) Zeng Yi. 2002. “Aging in China.” Ekerdt, David J. (ed.), Encyclopedia of Aging. Macmillan Reference USA, an Imprint of the Gale Group, New York. 39) Zeng Yi, Liu Yuzhi, and Linda George. 2003. “Gender Differentials of Oldest Old in China.” Research on Aging. 25: 65-80. 40) Zeng Yi and James W. Vaupel. 2003. “Oldest Old Mortality in China.” Demographic Research, Vol. 8 (7): 215-244. 41) Zeng Yi and Zhenglian Wang. 2003. “Dynamics of Family and Elderly Living Arrangements in China: New Lessons Learned from the 2000 Census.” The China Review, Vol. 3, No. 2: 95-119. 42) Zeng, Yi; Gu, Danan, and Land, K. C. 2004. “A New Method for Correcting Underestimation of Disabled Life Expectancy and Application to Chinese Oldest-Old.” Demography, Vol. 41 (2): 335-361. 43) Zeng, Yi, and Vaupel, J.W. 2004. “Association of Late Childbearing With Healthy Longevity among The Oldest-Old in China.” Population Studies, 58(1): 37-53. 44) Zeng, Yi. 2004. “Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey and Some Research Findings.” Geriatrics and Gerontology International, 2004; 4: S49-S52. 45) Zeng Yi, Eric Stallard, And Zhenglian Wang. 2004. “Computing Time-Varying Sex-Age- Specific Rates of Marriage/Union Formation and Dissolution in Family Household Projection or Simulation.” Demographic Research, 11, 264-299. 46) Gu, Danan; and Zeng, Yi. 2004. Sociodemographic Effects on the Onset and Recovery of ADL Disability among Chinese Oldest-old. Demographic Research, 11, 1-44. 47) Zeng Yi, Kenneth C. Land, Zhenglian Wang, and Gu Danan. 2006. “U.S. Family Household Momentum and Dynamics -- Extension of ProFamy Method and Application.” Population Research and Policy Review, 25(1): 1-41. 48) Gu, Danan, Liu, Guangya, Vlosky, A. Denese and Zeng, Yi. (2007). Factors Associated with Place of Death among Chinese Oldest-old. Journal of Applied Gerontology 26(1), 34-57. 49) Zeng Yi, Zhenglian Wang, Jiang Leiwen, and Danan Gu. 2006. “Projection of Family Households and Elderly Living Arrangement in the Context of Rapid Population Aging in China --A Demographic Window of Opportunity Until 2030 and Serious Challenges Thereafter.” Forthcoming in GENUS. 50) Zeng Yi, Danan Gu, and Kenneth C. Land. 2007. “The Association of Childhood Socioeconomic Conditions with Healthy Longevity at the Oldest-Old Ages in China.” Demography. Vol 44, No. 3: 497-518. 51) Zeng Yi, 2007. “Options of Fertility Policy Transition in China.” Population and Development Review. Vol. 33 No. 2, Heading article, Pp. 215-246. 52) Zeng Yi (2008) La Presion demografica sobre el envejecimiento de la poblacion (Demographic Pressure on Population Aging in Chin). Vanguardia Dossier (Spanish Quarterly), Issue 28: 53-59. 53) Xiao, Xinhua, Zhenxin Zhang, Harvey Jay Cohen, Heng Wang, Wenhui Li, Tong Wang, Tao Xu, Aimin Liu, Mingying Gai, Ying Shen, Ole Schmitz,Zeng Yi (2008). “Evidence of a Relationship between Infant Birth Weight and Later Diabetes Mellitus and Impaired Glucose Regulation in a Chinese Population”. Diabetes Care, 2008, No. 4. 54) Gu, Danan; Dupre, Matthew E.; Sautter, Jessica; Zhu, Haiyan; Liu, Yuzhi; and Zeng, Yi. “Frailty and Mortality among Chinese at Advanced Ages.” Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences, In press. 55) Gu, Danan; Zhang, Zhenmei; and Zeng, Yi. “Accessibility to Healthcare Services Makes a Difference in Healthy Longevity among Older Chinese Adults.” Social Science and Medicine, In press. 56) Dupre, Matthew E.; Gu, Danan; Warner, David F.; and Zeng, Yi. “Frailty and Type of Death among Older Adults in China. British Medical Journal. In press. 在欧美出版的专著中的章Chapters in books published in North America or Europe 1) Zeng Yi. 1989. “Population Policy in China: New Challenge and Strategies.” Pp. 61-73. In An Aging World, edited by John M. Eekelaar and David Pearl. Oxford: Oxford University Press. 2) Zeng Yi and A. Coale. 1990. “Age Schedules of Leaving the Parental Home in U.S.A., France, and Sweden.” In Changing Family Structure and Population Aging in China: A Comparative Approach, edited by Zeng et al. Beijing: Peking University Press. 3) Zeng Yi. 1992. “Changes in family structure in China.” In The Population of Modern China, edited by Dudley L. Poston and David Yaukey. Pp. 535-548. New York: Plenum Press. 4) Zeng Yi and Zhang Qinwu. 1997. “Conditions in China Influencing Out-migration.” In The Silent Debate: Asian Immigration and Racism in Canada, edited by E. Laquian, A. Laquian, Terry McGee. Pp. 75-84. Institute of Asian Research. The University of British Columbia. 5) Wang Zhenglian, Zeng Yi, Bernard Jeune, and J. Vaupel. 1997. “A Demography and Health Profile of Centenarians in China.” In Longevity: To the Limits and Beyond, edited by J-M. Robine et al. Pp. 91-104. New York/Berlin: Springer Publisher. 6) Zeng Yi. 1999. “Population Aging in China: Policy Tradeoff and Challenges.” In Population Aging: Challenges for Policies and Programs in Developed and Developing Countries, edited by R. Cliquet and M. Nizamuddin. Pp. 221-232. Jointly published by United Nations Population Fund and Population and Family Study Center, Belgium. 7) Zeng Yi. 2000. “Marriage Patterns in Contemporary China.” In The Changing Population of China, edited by Xizhe Peng with Zhigang Guo. Oxford: Blackwell Publishers. 8) Zeng Yi. 2000. “Prospective du vieillissement: le cas de la Chine et comparaisons internationales”. In Les Cles du XXIe Siecle. Edited by Jerome Binde and prefaced by Koichiro Matsuura, Director General of UNESCO, Paris: Seuil, Editions UNESCO. 9) Zeng Yi. 2001. “Forecasting the Ageing of Populations: China and International Comparisons.” In Keys to the 21st Century, Jerome Binde (ed.). New York/Oxford/Paris: Berhahn Books and UNESCO Publishing. 10) Zeng Yi. 2002. “Old Age Insurance and Sustainable Development in Rural China.” In Gudrun Sustainable Development with a Dynamic Economy. Kochendörfer-Lucius and Boris Pleskovic (eds.). Washington: World Bank. 11) Zeng Yi. 2002. “Population Problems and Strategies in China.” In a book (in both English and French languages) on Population of Contemporary China edited by Isabelle Attane, Paris: INED. 12) Zeng Yi, Gu Danan and Kenneth C. Land. 2005. “A Method for Correcting the Underestimation of Disabled Life Expectancy, with an Empirical Application to Oldest-Old in China.” In Zeng Yi, Eileen Crimmins, Yves Carrière, Jean-Marie Robine (eds.). Longer Life and Healthy Aging. Dordrecht: Springer Publisher. 13) Zeng Yi, Liu Yuzhi and Linda K. George. 2005. “Female Disadvantages among the Elderly in China.” In Zeng Yi, Eileen Crimmins, Yves Carrière, Jean-Marie Robine (eds.). Longer Life and Healthy Aging. Dordrecht: Springer Publisher. 14) Kenneth C. Land, Yang Yang, and Zeng Yi, 2005. “Mathematical Demography,” Chapter 22, in D. L. Poston, Jr. and M. Micklin (editors). Handbook of Population. New York: Springer Publishers. 15) Zeng Yi and James W. Vaupel. 2006. “Oldest-old Mortality in China.” In: Jean-Marie Robine, Eileen M. Crimmins, Shiro Horiuchi, and Zeng Yi (eds.) Human Longevity, Individual Life Duration, and the Growth of the Oldest-Old Population. Dordrecht: Springer Publisher. 16) Zeng, Yi. 2007. “Dynamics of Elderly Living Arrangements in China.” In: New Perspectives in China and Aging, Pp 93-104, edited by Ian G. Cook and Jason L. Powell. New York: Nova Science Publishers. 17）Zeng Yi and Linda K. George, 2008. Population Aging and Old-Age Care in China. In: Dale Dannefer and Chris Phillipson (eds.) Sage Handbook of Social Gerontology, Sage Publisher, forthcoming. 18) Dudley L. Poston, Jr. and Zeng Yi， 2008. “Introduction: Aging and Aged Dependency in China”, Chapter 1 in: Zeng Yi, Dudley Poston, Denese Ashbaugh Vlosky, and Danan Gu (eds.). 2008. Healthy Longevity in China: Demographic, Socioeconomic, and Psychological Dimensions. Dordrecht: Springer Publisher. 19) Zeng Yi, 2008. “Introduction to the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS)”, Chapter 2 in: Zeng Yi, Dudley Poston, Denese Ashbaugh Vlosky, and Danan Gu (eds.). 2008. Healthy Longevity in China: Demographic, Socioeconomic, and Psychological Dimensions. Dordrecht: Springer Publisher. 20) Zeng Yi and Danan Gu, 2008. “Reliability of Age Reporting among the Chinese Oldest-old in the CLHLS Datasets”, Chapter 4 in: Zeng Yi, Dudley Poston, Denese Ashbaugh Vlosky, and Danan Gu (eds.). 2008. Healthy Longevity in China: Demographic, Socioeconomic, and Psychological Dimensions. Dordrecht: Springer Publisher. 21) Zeng Yi, 2008. “Epilogue: Future Agenda”, Chapter 25 in: Zeng Yi, Dudley Poston, Denese Ashbaugh Vlosky, and Danan Gu (eds.). 2008. Healthy Longevity in China: Demographic, Socioeconomic, and Psychological Dimensions. Dordrecht: Springer Publisher. 22) Gu, Danan; Vlosky, A.Denese; and Zeng, Yi. Gender Differentials in Transitions and Expected Years Spending in Seven Living Arrangements among the Oldest-Old in China--- A Population-Based Decrement-Increment Life Table Analysis. In Harriet T. Benninghouse and Andria G. Rosset (eds.). Women and Aging: New Research. New York: Nova Publisher. In press. 用英语撰写，在北美、欧洲发表的其他论文 1) Zeng Yi. 1985. “A Demographic Profile of Family in China.” (Het Chinese gezin in demografisch perspectief) Demos, April, 1985, Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute. 2) Zeng Yi. 1986. “Family Status Life Table: An Extension of Bongaarts'''' Nuclear Family Model.” Working paper of Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute (NIDI), No. 70. 3) Zeng Yi. 1986. “Fertility and Family Dynamics in China.” Working paper of Interuniversity Program in Demography, Brussels Free University. No. 86-6, Brussels. 4) Zeng Yi. 1989. “A Model of Family Status Life Table and Its Application.” English version of Chinese Journal of Population Science 1: 77-94, published in the U.S. by Allerton Press, Inc. 5) Zeng Yi. 1989. “A Policy in Transition.” People, Vol. 16, No. 1, 1989. 6) Zeng Yi 1989. “Population Trends in China: A New Challenge.” Pp. 197-196 in Media Standards and Journalistic Accountability, Proceedings of the Ninth World Media Conference, March 22-25, 1989, published by World Media Association. 7) Zeng Yi. 1990. “An Analysis of Changing Trends in China''''s Urban and Rural Households.” English version of Chinese Journal of Population Science 2: 187-200, published in the U.S. by Allerton Press, Inc. 8) Zeng Yi. 1991. “A Comparative Study of Family Dynamics in Rural and Urban Areas in China.” In Fertility in China, Pp. 467-486. Published by the International Statistical Institute (ISI). The Hague: ISI. 9) Zeng Yi, Li Xiaoli and Ma Zhongdong. 1991. “The Trend and the Model Schedule of Leaving the Parental Home after Marriage in China.” In Fertility in China, Pp. 421-450. Published by International Statistical Institute (ISI). The Hague: ISI. 10) Zeng Yi, Li Xiaoli and Ma Zhongdong. 1991. “A Chinese Female Postnuptial Leaving Home Model--A Procedure for Analysing Main Parameters α and β in the Setting up, Testing and Estimation of the Model.” English version of Chinese Journal of Population Science 3: 205-18 published in the U.S. by Allerton Press, Inc. 11) Zeng Yi, T. Paul Schultz and Wang Deming. 1992. “An Event History Analysis of Divorce in China.” Economic Growth Center Discussion paper, No. 675, Yale University. 12) Zeng Yi, Li Wei, and Liang Zhiwu. 1992. “The Status, Regional Differences, and Trend of Chinese Family Structure.” English version of Chinese Journal of Population Science 4: 263-84, published in the U.S. by Allerton Press, Inc. 13) Zeng Yi. 1993. “Some Important Issues of Population and Sustainable Development in China.” In English version of the Proceedings of International Workshop on China''''s Agenda in 21st Century. 14) Jiang Zhenghua and Zeng Yi. 1994. “Changes in Household Size and Structure in China.” China Population Today. 11 (6): 5-8. Research Reports Written in English Submitted to Governmental Agencies Zeng Yi and Zhenglian Wang. 2002. “U.S. Households Projection by Race Using Demographic Rates as Input --Primary Progress Report,” Progress Report No. 1 submitted to the Census Bureau. Zeng Yi, Chingli Yang, Zhenglian Wang, and Philip Morgan. 2002. “Marital Status Transitions and Fertility in the United States -- Occurrence/Exposure Rates and Frequencies of Marital Status Transitions & Marital and Non-Marital Fertility by Race, Age, and Parity in Periods 1970-1996, and Cohorts born since 1920,” Progress Report No. 2 submitted to the Census Bureau. Zeng Yi and Zhenglian Wang. 2002. “Preliminary Projection of U.S. Households by Race,” Progress Report No. 3 submitted to the Census Bureau. 在国内发表的学术论文与专著，教材，及译著专著：曾毅：中国人口发展态势与对策探讨。北京大学出版社，1994。曾毅、王正联：家庭状态生命表软件及其应用。北京大学出版社，1990。曾毅等：中国八十年代的离婚研究。北京大学出版社，1995。查瑞传、曾毅、郭志刚等：中国第四次人口普查资料分析（上、下两集）。高等教育出版社，1996。曾毅、柳玉芝、张纯元、萧振禹等：健康长寿影响因素分析。北京大学出版社，2004年。曾毅：中国人口分析。北京大学出版社，2004。曾毅：Research on Aging and Family. 北京大学出版社，2004。曾毅、顾大男、萧振禹、陶立群：中国高龄老人健康长寿调查图集。Graph Collection of Healthy Longevity in China。中英文。中国人口出版社。2005。曾毅, 李玲，顾宝昌，林毅夫等：21世纪的中国人口与经济发展。社会科学文献出版社。2006。教材：曾毅：人口分析方法与应用。北京大学出版社，1993。张纯元、曾毅（主编）：市场人口学。北京大学出版社，1996。译著：曾毅、郭志刚等译：家庭人口学模型及应用。北京大学出版社，1994。学术论文：曾毅, 顾大男, 凯. 兰德: 健康期望寿命估算方法的拓展及其在中国高龄老人研究中的应用。《中国人口科学》，2007年第6期。顾大男、柳玉芝、章颖新、任红、曾毅 (2007). 我国老年人临终前需要完全照料的时间分析，《人口与经济》,第6期51－58页。顾大男、曾毅、柳玉芝、曾宪新 (2007). 中国老年人虚弱指数及其与痛苦死亡的关系研究，《人口研究》第5期第35-41页。曾毅: 国家财政保低的农村社会养老保障与人口安全。《中国社会保障》，2006年第8期。曾毅: 论二孩晚育政策软着陆的必要性与可行性。《中国社会科学》，2006年第2期。顾大男、曾毅：“1992－2002中国老年人生活自理能力的变化。”《人口与经济》，2006 No. 4: 9-13。曾毅: 二孩晚育政策软着陆与21世纪人口战略。曾毅, 李玲，顾宝昌，林毅夫等：21世纪的中国人口与经济发展。社会科学文献出版社。2006。曾毅：中国人口老化，退休金缺口与农村养老保障，《经济学季刊》，2005年第3期。曾毅：以晚育为杠杆，平稳向二孩政策过渡。《人口与经济》，2005年第2期。曾毅、王正联：中国家庭与老年人居住安排的变化。《中国人口科学》，2004年第5期。曾毅：健康长寿调查研究的新进展。《中国人口科学》增刊（老龄健康与社会经济发展研究专辑）， 2004年。曾毅、柳玉芝、张纯元、萧振禹：中国高龄老人的社会经济与健康状况。《中国人口科学》增刊（老龄健康与社会经济发展研究专辑）， 2004年。顾大男、曾毅：高龄老人个人社会经济特征与生活自理能力动态变化研究。《中国人口科学》增刊（老龄健康与社会经济发展研究专辑）， 2004年,第14-21页。曾毅：对邦戈茨-菲尼方法的评述、检验与灵敏度分析。《中国人口科学》，2004年第1期。曾毅、金沃泊：晚育与健康长寿。《人口研究》，2004年第2期。曾毅、金沃泊：中国高龄死亡模式及其与瑞典、日本的比较分析。《人口与经济》，2004年第3期。曾毅：计划生育与养老保障一体工程探讨。«人口与计划生育»，2002年第5期。曾毅：农村计划生育与养老保障结合势在必行。“农村计划生育与养老保障论坛”，«人口与计划生育»，2002年第5期。顾大男、曾毅：中国高龄老人健康预期寿命研究。«人口与经济»，2002年第2期。曾毅：农村社会养老保险与计划生育综合改革一体工程－计生系统面临的历史性机遇。«人口研究»，2001年第6期。曾毅：中国人口老龄化的“二高三大”特征及对策探讨。«人口与经济»，2001年第5期。曾毅、萧振宇、张纯元、柳玉芝、战捷、金沃泊：中国1998健康长寿调查及高龄老人生活自理期望寿命，«中国人口科学»，2001年第3期。顾大男、曾毅：中国高龄老人健康隶属等级分析。«中国人口科学»“中国高龄老人健康长寿研究专辑”，2001年。顾大男、曾毅、柳玉芝：健康期望寿命计算方法评述。«市场与人口分析»，2001年第4期。任强、曾毅：应对老龄化世界的挑战。《中国人口科学》，2001年第6期。曾毅、萧振禹、张纯元、柳玉芝：中国高龄老人健康长寿影响因素项目的研究意义及攻关目标。中国高龄老人健康长寿监测调查数据集第一章。北京大学出版社。 2000年。曾毅、萧振禹、张纯元、柳玉芝：中国高龄老人健康长寿基础调查样本设计方案。中国高龄老人健康长寿监测调查数据集第二章。北京大学出版社. 2000年. 曾毅、萧振禹、张纯元、柳玉芝：中国高龄老人健康长寿基础调查数据质量评估.中国高龄老人健康长寿监测调查数据集,第四章。北京大学出版社， 2000年。曾毅:农村计生优质服务与养老保险一体工程:计生系统面临的历史机遇。政策咨讯报告, 已递交国家计生委,2000年。曾毅:中国人口老龄化的“二高三大”特征及对策探讨。政策咨讯报告, 已递交国家老龄委与国家计生委, 1999年。我国高龄老人婚姻、家庭结构概况及有关对策建议。政策咨讯报告, 已递交国家老龄委与国家计生委, 1999年。曾毅：国际人口学研究的新动态与思考。人口研究，1998，No.6。曾毅、金沃泊、王正联：多维家庭人口预测模型的建立与应用。中国人口科学，1998，No.5。曾毅、舒尔茨：农村家庭承包责任制对生育率的影响。中国社会科学，1998，No.1。曾毅：不宜在纲领性文件中规定农村以家庭养老为主。人口研究，1997，No.6。曾毅：初婚年龄与初婚初育间隔的变动。查瑞传，曾毅，郭志刚主编：《中国第四次人口普查资料分析》第七篇“中国人口的婚姻与家庭结构分析”第二章，1996年，高等教育出版社。曾毅：子女离家率的估算与分析。查瑞传，曾毅，郭志刚主编：《中国第四次人口普查资料分析》第七篇“中国人口的婚姻与家庭结构分析”第六章，1996年，高等教育出版社。曾毅：多区域人口预测模型。查瑞传，曾毅，郭志刚主编：《中国第四次人口普查资料分析》第十篇“多区域人口预测”第一章，1996年，高等教育出版社。曾毅、李伟、张风雨：生育率模型及参数预测。查瑞传，曾毅，郭志刚主编：《中国第四次人口普查资料分析》第十篇“多区域人口预测”第二章，1996年，高等教育出版社。曾毅：中国未来人口年龄结构变动趋势。查瑞传，曾毅，郭志刚主编：《中国第四次人口普查资料分析》第十篇“多区域人口预测”第七章，1996年，高等教育出版社。曾毅：政策性思考与讨论。查瑞传，曾毅，郭志刚主编：《中国第四次人口普查资料分析》第十篇“多区域人口预测”第八章，1996年，高等教育出版社。曾毅：人口控制与财政政策，财政研究，1995，No.11。曾毅、吴德清：八十年代以来我国离婚水平与年龄分布的变动趋势。中国社会科学，1995，No.6。曾毅、王德明：上海、陕西、河北三省市女性再婚研究。中国人口科学，1995，No.5。曾毅：我国1991－1992年生育率是否大大低于替代水平。人口研究，1995，No.3。曾毅：经世济民，学以致用。市场与人口分析，1995，No.1。曾毅：人口项目与社会可持续发展。叶文虎与陈继成主编：《中国可持续发展》，北京大学出版社，1994。曾毅：从海南的实践看社会养老保险制度的改革。中国人口科学，1994，No.2。曾毅：在农村建立储备积累式养老保险的必要性与可行性。人口与计划生育，1993，NO.6。曾毅、舒尔茨、王德明：上海、陕西、河北三省市的离婚分析。人口研究，1993，No.5。曾毅：市场经济与实用人口学。人口与经济，1993，No.4。曾毅、蔡文媚、邱沛玲、宋静安：从昌平等地农村调查看晚婚晚育的必要性与可行性。人口与计划生育，1993，No.2。曾毅、顾宝昌、涂平、徐毅、李伯华、李涌平：我国近年来出生性别比升高的成因及后果分析。人口与经济，1993，No.1。曾毅：从四普与三普资料看华东六省一市婚姻家庭的现状及变动趋势。人口，1993，No.1。曾毅：人口与可持续发展。中国21世纪议程国际研讨会论文集，1993。曾毅：大力发展社会养老保障体系。中国人口报，1993.11.17。曾毅：市场经济呼唤实用人口学。中国人口报，1993.10.18。曾毅：利用普查数据估算平均初婚年龄与平均初婚初育间隔的方法及其在四普资料分析中的应用。人口与经济，1992，No.3。曾毅、李伟、梁志武：中国家庭结构的现状、区域差异及变动趋势。中国人口科学，1992，No.2。曾毅、邱沛玲：只要领导重视，措施得力，晚婚晚育是可行的。人口学刊，1992，No.6。曾毅、金沃泊：中国人口发展进程中若干矛盾的分析。于景元主编：现代中国人口与发展。中国社会出版社，1992。曾毅、李晓丽、贾同金、杨日章：初婚时居住方式与婚后离开公婆（父母）另立门户的生命表分析。人口动态，1991，No.3。曾毅、金沃泊：中国未来人口发展过程中的几个问题。中国社会科学，1991，No.3。曾毅：人口城镇化对我国人口发展的影响。人口学刊，1991，No.2。曾毅、李晓丽、马忠东：子女离家模型及其主要参数的估算方法。中国人口科学，1991，No.1。曾毅、涂平、郭柳、谢英：全国及各省、市、自治区近年出生率回升原因的人口学分析。人口研究，1991，No.1。蒋正华、曾毅、王胜今：实用人口学主要分支的介绍及评述。人口动态，1990，No.6。曾毅：试论控制人口数量提高人口质量的社会经济对策。人口动态，1990，No.3。曾毅：逐步提高平均生育年龄对我国人口发展的影响。人口与经济，1990，No.2。曾毅、李晓丽：从湖南、山西调查看农村妇女家庭生命历程与家庭结构变化。人口与经济，1990，No.2。曾毅：我国城乡家庭结构变动趋势分析。中国人口科学，1989，No.6。曾毅：家庭人口学—一门十分活跃的人口学分支学科。中国人口科学，1988，No.6。曾毅：人口要素变动对我国妇女家庭状态的影响。中国人口科学，1988，No.1。曾毅：试论人口城镇化对控制我国人口增长的影响。人口与经济，1987，No.6。曾毅：关于生育率下降如何影响我国家庭结构变动的探讨。北京大学学报， 1987，No.4。曾毅：多增-减生命表的构造方法及其在中国妇女婚姻研究中的应用。人口研究，1987，No.3。曾毅：六十年代以来美国家庭结构的变动。青年地理学家，1987，No.3。曾毅：提高文化教育水平与农村人口控制。人口研究论文集，上海华东师范大学出版社，1984。曾毅：西藏高原的升起与中国自然环境的变迁。地理教学，上海教育出版社，1982。政策咨询报告 1．曾毅：家庭户预测新方法及其应用。北京大学中国经济研究中心简报 2003年第10期（总第352期）。 2．曾毅，李玲，易纲：医疗改革和养老保障——中国经济展望论坛第四场中国经济研究中心 2003年。 3．曾毅：关于目前不宜取消生育间隔政策、而应平稳向二孩加间隔政策过渡的建议。北京大学中国经济研究中心简报 2004年第24期（总第440期）。 4．曾毅，陆学艺，黄季焜，P. Shultz：农村、城市化以及人口问题——中国经济研究中心十周年庆典活动简报之七。北京大学中国经济研究中心简报 2004年第44期。 5．曾毅，等：人口视窗及其影响：国际经验与中国现实。北京大学中国经济研究中心简报 2004年第16期。 6．曾毅，M. Feldstein, R. Moffitt, 赵耀辉，社会保障与劳动力流动——第六届NBER-CCER年会系列简报之二。北京大学中国经济研究中心简报 2004年第20期（总第436期）。 7．曾毅：退休金缺口与国家财政保底的农村基本社会养老保障。北京大学中国经济研究中心简报 2005年第45期（总第530期）。 8．曾毅：生育政策调整时机与解决出生性别比偏高问题探讨。北京大学中国经济研究中心简报 2006年第52期（总第614期）。 9. 曾毅：人口老化、二孩晚育政策软着陆与经济社会发展。中国人口与经济发展研讨会简报之二，北京大学中国经济研究中心简报 2006年第6期（总第568期）。 10．曾毅：对目前只允许农村独女户及城乡“双独或单独”夫妇生二孩生育政策的思考与讨论。北京大学中国经济研究中心简报 2006年第2期（总第564期）。 11. 曾毅：我国二孩晚育政策软着陆的必要性与可行性。北京大学中国经济研究中心简报 2006年第1期（总第563期）。 12.曾毅：“尽快启动二孩晚育软着陆有利于解决我国出生性别比偏高问题”，中科院-清华大学国情研究中心《国情报告》增刊第1期，2006年。 13. 曾毅："关于尽快启动二孩晚育软着陆政策的建议"，中科院－清华大学"国情报告"，2007年增刊第3期。 14．曾毅，胡鞍钢："''''大人口''''战略：整合人口计生与老龄工作势在必行"，中科院－清华大学"国情报告"，2007年增刊第5期。 15.曾毅：生育政策调整时机与解决出生性别比偏高问题的探讨。北京大学中国经济研究中心简报 2007年第1期。 16．曾毅：农民养育女儿在老年所得回报优于儿子。北京大学中国经济研究中心简报 2007年第25期（总第662期）。 17. 曾毅：中国人口老龄化与社会经济发展的人口压力，北京大学中国经济研究中心，纪念改革开放三十周年高层国际论坛简报之六，2008年第49期（总第744期）。 18.曾毅，尽快启动二孩晚育软着陆是落实“以人为本”科学发展观的重要抉择，内部政策研究咨询报告，已于2008年9月递交中央分管人口的李克强副总理和国家人口计生委并得到了李克强副总理的批示。 19.曾毅，关于五种不同生育政策方案的对比分析，内部政策研究咨询报告，已于2008年7月递交国家人口计生委。科研报告讨论稿 1. 曾毅：以晚育为杠杆，平稳向二孩政策过渡。北京大学中国经济研究中心，中文讨论稿，No. C2004010。 2. 曾毅，王正联：从2000人口普查看我国家庭与老年人居住安排的变化。北京大学中国经济研究中心，中文讨论稿，No. C2004011。 3. 曾毅：论二孩晚育政策软着陆的必要性与可行性。北京大学中国经济研究中心，中文讨论稿，No. C2005010。 4. 曾毅：关于我国生育政策调整时机与方案的探讨，北京大学中国经济研究中心，中文讨论稿，No. C2006016。 5. 曾毅：“落实‘以人为本’科学发展观，尽快启动二孩晚育软着陆：战略与策略的探讨”，国家发展研究院中国经济中心讨论稿，No. C2009001。
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