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| 文件名: Credut Suisse_Asia Equity Strategy 2012 outlook_201112.pdf | |
| 资料下载链接地址: https://bbs.pinggu.org/a-1018731.html | |
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Focus charts and tables.................................................................................................... 2 Sector and country heat maps (bottom-up) basis.......................................................... 4 Core views: A summary of our key global calls ............................................................. 5 Global multi-asset strategy............................................................................................... 7 Global equity strategy....................................................................................................... 8 Global economics.............................................................................................................. 9 Global commodities ........................................................................................................ 10 Asia strategy: Reflation rally?........................................................................................ 11 2012 end-year MXASJ target is 527 ............................................................................... 13 Country strategy.............................................................................................................. 29 Australia: From policy inaction to policy in action? ..................................................... 31 China: From crisis to stagnancy? ................................................................................ 38 Hong Kong : Stock rather than sector selection.......................................................... 48 India : Prefer to play ‘safe’ ........................................................................................... 54 Indonesia : Gazing through the haze .......................................................................... 63 Japan : Expecting a change in trend in the second half .............................................. 71 Malaysia : Politics, politics, politics .............................................................................. 78 Pakistan : Macro and political challenges limiting upside............................................ 88 Philippines : Resiliency and beyond ......................................................................... 100 Singapore : Price-to-book drops close to 2003 SARS level...................................... 108 South Korea : Play the potential 2H12 improvement through tech and consumers . 120 Taiwan : Earnings stabilisation and upcycle in 2012 ................................................. 126 Thailand : A tale of two halves .................................................................................. 137 Sector strategy............................................................................................................... 145 Automotive : China can surprise on the upside ........................................................ 147 Banks : Remain UNDERWEIGHT, still hiding in ASEAN .......................................... 149 Basic Materials : Fundamentals yet to stabilise........................................................ 155 Healthcare : Solid growth despite macro uncertainties ............................................. 158 Gaming : Growth is normalising, but not collapsing .................................................. 163 Infrastructure : Beneficiary of potential counter-cyclical spending ........................... 165 Oil & Gas : Diamonds in the rough ............................................................................ 170 Property .................................................................................................................... 176 Technology : Investing under a challenging macro backdrop................................... 182 Telecoms : Smartphones remain the key driver, but be selective............................. 184 Transportation: Tough macro, but a leading indicator to the market........................ 188 Insurance : Strong fundamentals, but macro headwinds .......................................... 194 Country and sector valuations..................................................................................... 197 Appendix: Valuation summary.................................................................................... 198 |
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