<P><FONT size=3>南方基金--宏观研究：热钱已经挟持中国经济</FONT></P>
<P><FONT size=3>07.20 3页</FONT></P>
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<P><FONT size=3>There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.<BR>Benjamin Disraeli British politician (1804 - 1881)<BR>Figures often beguile me, particularly when I have the arranging of them myself; in which case the remark attributed to Disraeli would often apply with justice and force: "There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies and statistics."<BR>Mark Twain US humorist, novelist, short story author, &amp; wit (1835 - 1910)<BR>☆没有热钱，中国经济会怎样？<BR>☆热钱导致GDP增长3.8个百分点，剔除热钱后，2007年上半年GDP真实增长率仅为7.7%；<BR>☆没有了热钱，11.5%华丽的增长会持续吗？一旦考虑了热钱，无论是7.7%还是7.9%，都意味着中国经济已经被热钱挟持或者说绑架，以上分析，仅是假设热钱零进出，如果热钱突然大规模流出呢？经济增长率6个百分点上</FONT></P>