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1. Exchangeability with known model parameters: For each of the following three examples, answer: (i) Are observations y1 and y2 exchangeable? (ii) Are observations y1 and y2 independent? (iii) Can we act as if the two observations are independent? (a) A box has one black ball and one white ball. We pick a ball y1 at random, put it back, and pick another ball y2 at random. (b) A box has one black ball and one white ball. We pick a ball y1 at random, we do not put it back, then we pick ball y2. (c) A box has a million black balls and a million white balls. We pick a ball y1 at random, we do not put it back, then we pick ball y2 at random. 求助各位大神,非常感谢! |
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