英文标题：
《Unified Growth Theory: A puzzling collection of myths based on
hyperbolic illusions》
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作者：
Ron W Nielsen
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最新提交年份：
2013
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英文摘要：
The Unified Growth Theory is a puzzling collection of myths based on illusions created by hyperbolic distributions. Some of these myths are discussed. The examination of data shows that the three stages of growth (Malthusian Regime, Post-Malthusian Regime and Modern Growth Regime) did not exist and that Industrial Revolution had no influence on the economic growth and on the growth of human population. All elaborate explanations revolving around phantom features created by hyperbolic illusions might be fascinating but they are scientifically unacceptable and, consequently, they do not explain the economic growth. The data clearly indicate that the economic growth was not as complicated as described by the Unified Growth Theory but elegantly simple.
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中文摘要：
统一增长理论是一个令人费解的神话集合，它基于双曲分布所产生的幻觉。本文讨论了其中一些谬论。对数据的审查表明，三个增长阶段（马尔萨斯政权、后马尔萨斯政权和现代增长政权）并不存在，工业革命对经济增长和人口增长没有影响。所有围绕双曲线幻象产生的幻象特征的详细解释可能都很吸引人，但它们在科学上是不可接受的，因此，它们无法解释经济增长。这些数据清楚地表明，经济增长并不像统一增长理论所描述的那样复杂，而是极其简单。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：General Finance 一般财务
分类描述：Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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