英文标题：
《Default Probability Estimation via Pair Copula Constructions》
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作者：
Luciana Dalla Valle, Maria Elena De Giuli, Claudia Tarantola, Claudio
Manelli
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最新提交年份：
2015
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英文摘要：
In this paper we present a novel approach for firm default probability estimation. The methodology is based on multivariate contingent claim analysis and pair copula constructions. For each considered firm, balance sheet data are used to assess the asset value, and to compute its default probability. The asset pricing function is expressed via a pair copula construction, and it is approximated via Monte Carlo simulations. The methodology is illustrated through an application to the analysis of both operative and defaulted firms.
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中文摘要：
本文提出了一种新的企业违约概率估计方法。该方法基于多元未定权益分析和成对copula构造。对于每个被考虑的公司，资产负债表数据用于评估资产价值，并计算其违约概率。资产定价函数通过成对copula构造表示，并通过蒙特卡罗模拟进行近似。该方法通过对运营公司和违约公司的分析应用进行了说明。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：Risk Management 风险管理
分类描述：Measurement and management of financial risks in trading, banking, insurance, corporate and other applications
衡量和管理贸易、银行、保险、企业和其他应用中的金融风险
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