英文标题：
《Early Warning Signs of the Economic Crisis in Greece: A Warning for
Other Countries and Regions》
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作者：
Ron W Nielsen
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最新提交年份：
2015
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英文摘要：
Warning signs about the developing economic crisis in Greece were present in the growth rate of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and in the growth of the GDP well before the economic collapse. The growth rate was strongly unstable. On average, in less than 50 years, it decreased 10-folds but after reaching a low minimum it quickly increased 6-folds only to crash before completing the full cycle. The decreasing growth rate was leading to an asymptotic maximum of the GDP but it was soon replaced by a fast-increasing growth rate propelling the GDP along a pseudo-hyperbolic trajectory, which if continued would have escaped to infinity in 2017. Such a growth could not have been possibly supported. Under these conditions, the economic collapse in Greece was inevitable.
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中文摘要：
在经济崩溃之前，希腊国内生产总值（GDP）的增长率和GDP的增长率就已经出现了关于正在发展的经济危机的警告信号。增长率极不稳定。平均而言，在不到50年的时间里，它减少了10倍，但在达到最低值后，它迅速增加了6倍，直到在完成整个周期之前崩溃。增长率的下降导致了GDP的渐近最大值，但很快就被快速增长的增长率所取代，从而推动GDP沿着伪双曲线轨迹发展，如果继续下去，2017年的GDP将达到无穷大。这种增长不可能得到支持。在这种情况下，希腊的经济崩溃是不可避免的。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：General Finance 一般财务
分类描述：Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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