英文标题：
《Unified Growth Theory Contradicted by the Economic Growth in the Former
USSR》
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作者：
Ron W Nielsen
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最新提交年份：
2016
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英文摘要：
Historical economic growth in countries of the former USSR is analysed. It is shown that Unified Growth Theory is contradicted by the data, which were used, but not analysed, during the formulation of this theory. Unified Growth Theory does not explain the mechanism of economic growth. It explains the mechanism of Malthusian stagnation, which did not exist and it explains the mechanism of the transition from stagnation to growth that did not happen. Unified Growth Theory is full of stories but it is hard to decide which of them are reliable because they are based on unprofessional examination of data. The data show that the economic growth in the former USSR was never stagnant but hyperbolic. Industrial Revolution did not boost the economic growth in the former USSR. Unified Growth Theory needs to be revised or replaced by a reliable theory to reconcile it with data and to avoid creating the unwarranted sense of security about the current economic growth.
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中文摘要：
分析了前苏联国家的历史经济增长。结果表明，统一增长理论与该理论形成过程中使用但未分析的数据相矛盾。统一增长理论不能解释经济增长的机制。它解释了马尔萨斯停滞的机制，而马尔萨斯停滞并不存在，它还解释了从停滞到增长的过渡机制，而这种过渡并没有发生。统一增长理论充满了故事，但很难决定哪一个是可靠的，因为它们是基于对数据的非专业检查。数据显示，前苏联的经济增长从未停滞，而是双曲线增长。工业革命并没有促进前苏联的经济增长。统一增长理论需要被可靠的理论修正或取代，以使其与数据相一致，并避免对当前经济增长产生不必要的安全感。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：General Finance 一般财务
分类描述：Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：Economics 经济学
分类描述：q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学，包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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