英文标题：
《Unified Growth Theory Contradicted by the Economic Growth in Latin
America》
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作者：
Ron W Nielsen
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最新提交年份：
2016
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英文摘要：
Historical economic growth in Latin America is analysed using the data of Maddison. Unified Growth Theory is found to be contradicted by these data in the same way as it is contradicted by the economic growth in Africa, Asia, former USSR, Western Europe, Eastern Europe and by the world economic growth. Paradoxically, Unified Growth Theory is repeatedly and consistently contradicted by the same data, which were used, but never properly analysed, during the formulation of this theory. Unified Growth Theory does not explain the mechanism of the economic growth because it explains features contradicted by data. This theory is based fundamentally on the unfortunate lack of understanding of the properties of hyperbolic distribution and on the unscientific analysis of data. There was no transition from stagnation to growth at the end of the alleged Malthusian regime because the economic growth was hyperbolic. There was no escape from Malthusian trap because there was no trap. There was no takeoff. On the contrary, at the time of the alleged takeoff economic growth started to be diverted to a slower trajectory. Unified Growth Theory is dissociated from the reality. This theory needs to be revised or replaced. In its present form, it is a collection of irrelevant stories based on impressions and on the unscientific use of data.
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中文摘要：
利用Maddison的数据分析了拉丁美洲的历史经济增长。统一增长理论与这些数据相矛盾，正如它与非洲、亚洲、前苏联、西欧、东欧的经济增长以及世界经济增长相矛盾一样。自相矛盾的是，统一增长理论被同一数据反复、一致地反驳，这些数据在该理论的形成过程中被使用，但从未得到适当的分析。统一增长理论不能解释经济增长的机制，因为它解释了与数据相矛盾的特征。这一理论的基础是对双曲线分布的性质缺乏理解，以及对数据的不科学分析。在所谓的马尔萨斯政权末期，没有从停滞过渡到增长，因为经济增长是双曲线的。马尔萨斯陷阱无法逃脱，因为没有陷阱。没有起飞。相反，在所谓的起飞时，经济增长开始转向较慢的轨道。统一增长理论脱离了现实。这个理论需要修正或替换。以目前的形式，它是一个基于印象和不科学使用数据的无关故事的集合。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：General Finance 一般财务
分类描述：Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：Economics 经济学
分类描述：q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学，包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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