英文标题：
《Brexit: The Belated Threat》
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作者：
D\\\'ora Gr\\\'eta Petr\\\'oczy, Mark Francis Rogers, L\\\'aszl\\\'o \\\'A.
K\\\'oczy
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最新提交年份：
2018
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英文摘要：
Debates on an EU-leaving referendum arose in several member states after Brexit. We want to highlight how the exit of an additional country affects the power distribution in the Council of the European Union. We inspect the power indices of the member states both with and without the country which might leave the union. Our results show a pattern connected to a change in the threshold of the number of member states required for a decision. An exit that modifies this threshold benefits the countries with high population, while an exit that does not cause such a change benefits the small member states. According to our calculations, the threat of Brexit would have worked differently before the entry of Croatia.
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中文摘要：
英国脱欧后，一些成员国就欧盟退出公投展开了辩论。我们想强调，另一个国家的退出如何影响欧洲联盟理事会的权力分配。我们检查了成员国的权力指数，无论是否有可能脱离欧盟的国家。我们的结果显示了一种模式，该模式与决策所需成员国数量阈值的变化有关。修改这一阈值的退出有利于人口众多的国家，而不会导致这一变化的退出则有利于小国。根据我们的计算，在克罗地亚加入之前，英国脱欧的威胁会起到不同的作用。
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分类信息：

一级分类：Economics 经济学
二级分类：General Economics 一般经济学
分类描述：General methodological, applied, and empirical contributions to economics.
对经济学的一般方法、应用和经验贡献。
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：Economics 经济学
分类描述：q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学，包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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