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文件名: 论文1.rar |
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年份
| 通货膨胀率(Y) | GDP增长率（X1） | 外汇储备(X2) | 货币供给量(X3) | 总指数(X4) | 工资指数(X5) | | 1990 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 110.9 | 15293.4 | 105.6 | 112.7 | | 1991 | 2.9 | 9.2 | 217.1 | 19349.9 | 109.1 | 112.6 | | 1992 | 5.4 | 14.2 | 194.4 | 25402.2 | 111 | 118.5 | | 1993 | 13.2 | 14 | 212 | 34879.8 | 135.1 | 124.8 | | 1994 | 21.7 | 13.1 | 516.2 | 46293.5 | 118.2 | 135.4 | | 1995 | 14.8 | 10.9 | 736 | 60750.5 | 115.3 | 121.7 | | 1996 | 6.1 | 10 | 1050.3 | 76094.9 | 103.9 | 112.1 | | 1997 | 0.8 | 9.3 | 1398.9 | 90995.3 | 101.3 | 103.6 | | 1998 | -2.6 | 7.8 | 1449.6 | 104498.5 | 95.8 | 100.2 | | 1999 | -3 | 7.6 | 1546.8 | 119897.9 | 96.7 | 106.2 | | 2000 | -1.5 | 8.4 | 1655.7 | 134610.4 | 105.1 | 107.9 | | 2001 | -0.8 | 8.3 | 2121.7 | 158301.9 | 99.8 | 111 | | 2002 | -1.3 | 9.1 | 2864.1 | 185007 | 97.7 | 111.2 | | 2003 | -0.1 | 10 | 4032.5 | 221222.8 | 104.8 | 112 | | 2004 | 2.8 | 10.1 | 6099.3 | 254107 | 111.4 | 114.6 | | 2005 | 0.8 | 10.4 | 8188.7 | 298755.7 | 108.3 | 117.1 | | 2006 | 1 | 11.1 | 10663.4 | 345603.6 | 106 | 117.6 | | 2007 | 3.8 | 11.4 | 15282.5 | 403442.2 | 104.4 | 121.4 |
以上是我的数据，没学好计量经济学。求高手帮忙。接下来要做哪些检验？（详细点吧
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| | | | | | | | Dependent Variable: Y | | | | | | | Method: Least Squares | | | | | | Date: 04/15/10
Time: 22:05 | | | | | | | Sample: 1990 2007 | | | | | | | | Included observations: 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | Prob.
| | | | | | | | | | | X1 | 0.237077 | 0.384459 | 0.616651 | 0.549 | | | | X2 | 0.000101 | 0.000566 | 0.17776 | 0.8619 | | | | X3 | -2.43E-05 | 2.03E-05 | -1.195257 | 0.2551 | | | | X4 | 0.023775 | 0.125272 | 0.189787 | 0.8526 | | | | X5 | 0.621924 | 0.139731 | 4.45086 | 0.0008 | | | | C | -69.24811 | 12.38417 | -5.591662 | 0.0001 | | | | | | | | | | | R-squared | 0.885663 |
Mean dependent var | 3.672222 | | | | Adjusted R-squared | 0.838023 |
S.D. dependent var | 6.622316 | | | | S.E. of regression | 2.66524 |
Akaike info criterion | 5.059667 | | | | Sum squared resid | 85.24208 |
Schwarz criterion | 5.356458 | | | | Log likelihood | -39.537 |
Hannan-Quinn criter. | 5.100591 | | | | F-statistic | 18.59065 |
Durbin-Watson stat | 0.754826 | | | Prob(F-statistic)
| 0.000028 |
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