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摘要翻译：
公共卫生方面的声明已经出现在公共场所，比如“每2个人中就有1人会在85岁前患癌症”。从这些声明中得出的含义影响经济福利，而不仅仅是公共健康。市场和政府都对各种风险使用风险信息，有用的信息反过来可以提高经济福利，而不准确的信息则会降低经济福利。我们采用列联表方法，使引用的风险与自然状态交叉分类。我们表明，关于报告的癌症风险的准确性的官僚目标函数可以被陈述。
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英文标题：
《Cancer Risk Messages: Public Health and Economic Welfare》
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作者：
Ruth F. G. Williams, Ka C. Chan, Christopher T. Lenard, and Terence M.
Mills
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最新提交年份：
2018
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分类信息：
一级分类：Economics 经济学
二级分类：Econometrics 计量经济学
分类描述：Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论，微观计量经济学，宏观计量经济学，通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容，统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
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英文摘要：
Statements for public health purposes such as "1 in 2 will get cancer by age 85" have appeared in public spaces. The meaning drawn from such statements affects economic welfare, not just public health. Both markets and government use risk information on all kinds of risks, useful information can, in turn, improve economic welfare, however inaccuracy can lower it. We adapt the contingency table approach so that a quoted risk is cross-classified with the states of nature. We show that bureaucratic objective functions regarding the accuracy of a reported cancer risk can then be stated.
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PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1807.03045
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