摘要翻译:
在非实验环境下,回归不连续性(RD)设计是程序评估和因果推断中最可信的识别策略之一。然而,RD处理的影响因素必然是局部性的,这使得对这些影响进行外推的统计方法成为发展的关键领域。我们介绍了一种新的RD效应外推方法,该方法依赖于多个截止值的存在,因此是基于设计的。我们的方法采用了一个易于解释的识别假设,它模仿了差异中的差异设计中的“共同趋势”的想法。我们用哥伦比亚教育后出勤率补贴贷款项目的数据来说明我们的方法,并为测试成绩远离决定项目资格的截止线的学生提供了项目效果的新证据。
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英文标题:
《Extrapolating Treatment Effects in Multi-Cutoff Regression Discontinuity
Designs》
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作者:
Matias D. Cattaneo, Luke Keele, Rocio Titiunik, Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare
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最新提交年份:
2020
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分类信息:
一级分类:Economics 经济学
二级分类:Econometrics 计量经济学
分类描述:Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论,微观计量经济学,宏观计量经济学,通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容,统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
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一级分类:Statistics 统计学
二级分类:Applications 应用程序
分类描述:Biology, Education, Epidemiology, Engineering, Environmental Sciences, Medical, Physical Sciences, Quality Control, Social Sciences
生物学,教育学,流行病学,工程学,环境科学,医学,物理科学,质量控制,社会科学
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一级分类:Statistics 统计学
二级分类:Methodology 方法论
分类描述:Design, Surveys, Model Selection, Multiple Testing, Multivariate Methods, Signal and Image Processing, Time Series, Smoothing, Spatial Statistics, Survival Analysis, Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods
设计,调查,模型选择,多重检验,多元方法,信号和图像处理,时间序列,平滑,空间统计,生存分析,非参数和半参数方法
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英文摘要:
In non-experimental settings, the Regression Discontinuity (RD) design is one of the most credible identification strategies for program evaluation and causal inference. However, RD treatment effect estimands are necessarily local, making statistical methods for the extrapolation of these effects a key area for development. We introduce a new method for extrapolation of RD effects that relies on the presence of multiple cutoffs, and is therefore design-based. Our approach employs an easy-to-interpret identifying assumption that mimics the idea of "common trends" in difference-in-differences designs. We illustrate our methods with data on a subsidized loan program on post-education attendance in Colombia, and offer new evidence on program effects for students with test scores away from the cutoff that determined program eligibility.
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1808.04416