摘要翻译:
本文考虑了一个简单的模型,其中社会规划者可以通过单个参数影响传染波的传播强度,从而影响经济活动和人口健康。假定只有当同时感染的人数超过卫生保健能力时,人口健康才会受到负面影响。主要发现是,如果(i)计划者对经济活动给予积极的权重,(ii)经济被锁定的时间更长而不是更短,那么最优政策是在某个时候(微弱地)超过医疗保健能力。
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英文标题:
《Optimal Trade-Off Between Economic Activity and Health During an
Epidemic》
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作者:
Tommy Andersson, Albin Erlanson, Daniel Spiro, Robert \"Ostling
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最新提交年份:
2020
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分类信息:
一级分类:Economics 经济学
二级分类:Theoretical Economics 理论经济学
分类描述:Includes theoretical contributions to Contract Theory, Decision Theory, Game Theory, General Equilibrium, Growth, Learning and Evolution, Macroeconomics, Market and Mechanism Design, and Social Choice.
包括对契约理论、决策理论、博弈论、一般均衡、增长、学习与进化、宏观经济学、市场与机制设计、社会选择的理论贡献。
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英文摘要:
This paper considers a simple model where a social planner can influence the spread-intensity of an infection wave, and, consequently, also the economic activity and population health, through a single parameter. Population health is assumed to only be negatively affected when the number of simultaneously infected exceeds health care capacity. The main finding is that if (i) the planner attaches a positive weight on economic activity and (ii) it is more harmful for the economy to be locked down for longer than shorter time periods, then the optimal policy is to (weakly) exceed health care capacity at some time.
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2005.07590