变量:college(是否上过大学,上过=1);hukou(城市=1,农业=0);cohort(60前、60后、70后、80后、90后;在此赋值1-5作为连续性变量);控制变量:性别;ISEI(父辈职业地位)
首先用logit命令去做,发现主效应系数显著为正,交互效应系数显著为负,二者相反,这应该说明城乡差距在变小(但图好像不是这样的),结果如下
logit college i.sex ISEI i.hukou##c.cohort
Logistic regression Number of obs =
> 9,377
LR chi2(5) =
> 2364.44
Prob > chi2 =
> 0.0000
Log likelihood = -2763.177 Pseudo R2 =
> 0.2996
--------------------------------------------------------------------
> ----------
college | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf.
> Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------------
> ----------
sex |
男 | .2463542 .0686799 3.59 0.000 .111744
> .3809643
ISEI | .0250937 .0018313 13.70 0.000 .0215043
> .028683
1.hukou | 2.851293 .2105067 13.54 0.000 2.438707
> 3.263878
cohort | 1.03897 .046335 22.42 0.000 .9481555
> 1.129785
|
hukou#|
c.cohort |
1 | -.3098216 .0573215 -5.40 0.000 -.4221696
> -.1974735
|
_cons | -6.527192 .1946669 -33.53 0.000 -6.908732
> -6.145652
--------------------------------------------------------------------
> ----------
作图:
但是,当我们用reg再做时(虽然知道reg和logit模型结果不一样,但至少方向应该一致吧),却惊人的发现其他的系数都与logit模型中的方向一致(如ISEI、sex啥的),但唯独 交互项系数是显著为正的(在logit模型是负向的),也就是说,随着世代的推移,城乡之间的不平等是扩大了的(从两个图中可以看出,这个结论才是对的)。
所以,到底哪个才是对的?为什么logit模型和ols模型做出来的结果会差这么多?
reg college i.sex ISEI i.hukou##c.cohort
Source | SS df MS Number of obs =
> 9,377
-------------+---------------------------------- F(5, 9371) =
> 679.29
Model | 316.08167 5 63.216334 Prob > F =
> 0.0000
Residual | 872.08896 9,371 .093062529 R-squared =
> 0.2660
-------------+---------------------------------- Adj R-squared =
> 0.2656
Total | 1188.17063 9,376 .126724683 Root MSE =
> .30506
--------------------------------------------------------------------
> ----------
college | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf.
> Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------------
> ----------
sex |
男 | .0227956 .0063138 3.61 0.000 .0104191
> .035172
ISEI | .0032726 .0002067 15.83 0.000 .0028673
> .0036778
1.hukou | .0111246 .0135702 0.82 0.412 -.015476
> .0377251
cohort | .0639138 .0029323 21.80 0.000 .058166
> .0696617
|
hukou#|
c.cohort |
1 | .0791321 .0050108 15.79 0.000 .0693099
> .0889543
|
_cons | -.1566493 .0091877 -17.05 0.000 -.1746592
> -.1386394
--------------------------------------------------------------------
> ----------


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