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gauss5.0可以的// Welcome to GAUSS 5.0
You've just run the GAUSS startup file. It's called "startup" in your
GAUSS home directory. You may modify it to contain your own custom
commands or simply delete it.
To run an example program, enter the following at the command prompt:
run ols.e
?run D:\gausscd\lin\Maxseek.2s;
Order of autoregression for production index 1.0000000
Order of autoregression for stock return 1.0000000
Order of ARCH process 0.00000000
Number of primitive states 2.0000000
Number of lagged states that affect returns and growth rates 1.0000000
Number of state delays between returns and growth rates 1.0000000
First observation used for estimation is 5.0000000
with leverage effect
Distribution is Normal
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The matrix hpp is
1. 0.0 1. 0.0 1. 0.0 1. 0.0
0.0 1. 0.0 1. 0.0 1. 0.0 1.
1. 1. 0.0 0.0 1. 1. 0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0 1. 1. 0.0 0.0 1. 1.
1. 1. 1. 1. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1. 1. 1. 1.
----------------- 2 STATE MODEL ----------------
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--------- Parameters in the stock return and its volatility eqautions----------
Constant term in stock return regression 0.35000000
Autoregressive coefficients in stoch return regression 0.27145200
Initial variance not neeeded
Constant term in ARCH process 19.663118
(Transposed) matrix of transition probabilities
0.88730800 0.020626000
0.11269200 0.97937400
The state with no adjustment to ARCH process is state 1, with transition
probability 0.88730800
Vector of variance factors for states 2 through 2.0000000 0.088103000
Coefficient on negative lagged change for asymmetric effect 0.15921200
----------- Parameters in the production growth rate eqaution -----------
The mean of growth rate in state 1 through 2.0000000 -0.76164300 0.41672000
Autocoefficients on the production growth rate equation
0.23808100
Variance for the growth rate 0.48369000
Initial values: 0.35000000 0.27145200 13.108745 0.88730800 0.97937400 0.088103000 -0.15921200 -0.76164300 0.41672000 0.23808100 0.48369000
Initial value for negative log likelihood: 1259.9470
Do you wish to continue (y or n)?
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