【经济史】Shanghai's Trade, China's Growth Since the Opium War

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1 论文标题SHANGHAI’S TRADE, CHINA’S GROWTH: CONTINUITY, RECOVERY, AND CHANGE SINCE THE OPIUM WAR
2 作者信息
Wolfgang Keller Ben Li Carol H. Shiue
3 出处和链接
NBER Working Paper No. 17754 , 2012, Jan http://papers.nber.org/papers/w17754#fromrss
4 摘要


In this paper, we provide aggregate trends in China’s trade performance from the 1840s to the present. Based on historical benchmarks, we argue that China’s recent gains are not exclusively due to the reforms since 1978. Rather, foreign economic activity can be understood by developments that were set in motion in the 19th century. We turn our focus to Shanghai, currently the world’s largest port. Shanghai began direct trade relations with western nations starting in 1843. By 1853, Shanghai already accounted for more than half of China’s foreign trade. In tracking the levels and growth rates of the city’s net and gross imports and exports, foreign direct investment, and foreign residents over more than a century, we find that Shanghai’s level of bilateral trade today with the United States, the United Kingdom, or Japan, for example, are by no means high given Shanghai’s 19th century experience. This paper argues that a regional approach that embeds national trading destinations within an international trading system provides a meaningful approach to understanding the history of China’s trade.


w17754.pdf (1.21 MB)

2012-1-17 07:01:56 上传

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关键词：Growth China Since Trade Hang 论文 信息 Shanghai 经济史 China

Wolfgang Keller和Carol H. Shiue这对科罗拉多大学的夫妇在经济史方面，尤其在中欧比较方面有不少著作，数据库也很有趣。本文利用的是中国海关数据（1859-1948）和建国后的年鉴数据来研究上海与中国整体的贸易发展变化等。描述性研究和国际贸易引力模型相结合，可读性强。


不太了解的朋友可以参阅Carol H. Shiue的发表 （AER,JEH, JoE都是重量级的）:

“China’s Foreign Trade,  Perspectives from the Last 150 Years” (with Wolfgang Keller and Ben Li). The World Economy, 2011, 34(6), pp.  853-892.

  

“Markets inChina  and Europe on the Eve of the Industrial Revolution,” (with Wolfgang Keller). The American  Economic Review, September 2007, 97(4), pp. 1189-1216.

  

“Transport Costs and the  Geography of Arbitrage in Eighteenth Century China,” The American Economic Review,  December 2002, 92(5),  pp. 1406-1419.

  

“The Origins of Spatial  Interaction: Evidence from Chinese Rice Markets, 1742-1795,” (with  Wolfgang Keller), Journal  of Econometrics, September 2007, 140(1), pp.  304-332.

  

“Market Integration and  Economic Development: A Long-run Comparison,” (with Wolfgang Keller), Review of Development Economics, February 2007, 11(1), pp. 107-123.

  

“From Political Fragmentation  towards a Custom Union: Border Effects of  the German Zollverein, 1815-1855,”  European Review of Economic History, August 2005, 9(2), pp 129-162.    

  

“The Political Economy of  Famine Relief in China,  1740-1820,” Journal of  Interdisciplinary History, Summer 2005, 36(1), pp. 33-55.

  

“Local Granaries and Central  Government Disaster Relief: Moral Hazard and Intergovernmental Finance in  Eighteenth and Nineteenth Century China,” The Journal of Economic History,  March 2004, 64(1),  pp. 101-125.

  

“Comparing the Correlation  Length of Grain Markets in China  and France,”  International Journal of  Modern Physics C, October 2000, 11(7), pp. 1383-1410 (with Bertrand M. Roehner, LPTHE, Université  Paris 7).

  

“Grain Trade and Storage in  Late Imperial China,” The  Journal of Economic History, June 2000, 60(2), pp. 511-515  (Dissertation Summary, selected for the Alexander Gerschenkron  Prize Panel).

  

“Comments on Abramitzky, Chaudhary, Musacchio,” The Journal of  Economic History, June 2007,  67(2), pp. 511-515. (Alexander Gerschenkron Prize  Panel, Convener’s comments.)

  

“Review of  Madeleine Zelin, The Merchants of Zigong: Industrial Entrepreneurship in Early Modern  China,” New York: Columbia  University Press, 2006. Economic History Services book review, September  2006. Also published as a book review in The  Journal of Economic History, December 2006, 66(4), pp.  1086-1088.

  

“Review of Madeleine Zelin, Jonathan K. Ocko, Robert  Gardella (eds.), Contract  and Property in Early Modern China,”  Stanford University Press, 2004. Economic  History Services book review, September 2004.

  “Review of Sui-Cheung, The Price of Rice: Market Integration in  Eighteenth-Century China”, Western  Washington University Press, 2008. Journal  of Economic History, May 2010, 70(2), pp. 523-525.

这个挺适合研究生做的

xiuqiangwei 发表于 2012-1-17 09:05
这个挺适合研究生做的

研究生如果能做出这样的成果，那就不是普通学生了。。

{:soso_e179:}

谢谢楼主分享

谢谢楼主分享

谢谢楼主！！！

城市贸易影响国家贸易的直接证据，好文章。

看看，学习一下