预测诺贝尔经济学奖、拿论坛币！（回帖奖励）

表示关注

这个可是个技术活！！1

这个不是学术前沿的怕是很难预测

写<<经济学原理>>的曼昆.....

支持 长长见识

好吧

等待结果！

路透社预测的，个人觉得第一个人哈

Joshua D. Angrist
Ford Professor of Economics
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Cambridge, MA, USA

-and-

David E. Card
Class of 1950 Professor of Economics
University of California, Berkeley
Berkeley, CA, USA

-and-

Alan B. Krueger
Bendheim Professor of Economics
Princeton University
Princeton, NJ, USA
For their advancement of empirical microeconomics


Sir David F. Hendry
Professor of Economics
University of Oxford
Oxford, England, UK

-and-

M. Hashem Pesaran
John Elliot Distinguished Chair in Economics & Professor of Economics, and Emeritus Professor of Economics & Fellow of Trinity College, Cambridge
University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA and University of Cambridge, Cambridge, England, UK

-and-

Peter C.B. Phillips
Sterling Professor of Economics and Professor of Statistics
Yale University
New Haven, CT, USA
For their contributions to economic time-series, including modeling, testing and forecasting


Sam Peltzman
Ralph and Dorothy Keller Distinguished Service Professor of Economics Emeritus
University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Chicago, IL, USA

-and-

Richard A. Posner
Judge, United States Seventh Circuit Court of Appeals, and Senior Lecturer
University of Chicago Law School
Chicago, IL, USA

这个真的不好猜，不知道评审委员会今年又关注什么。按说有资格拿这个奖的人有几个，每年都猜，但是真正猜对的不多。

Michael Grossman!