预测诺贝尔经济学奖、拿论坛币！（回帖奖励）

Joshua D. Angrist（约书亚•D•安格里斯特）：（美国，马萨诸塞州坎布里奇，麻省理工学院）；
David E. Card（戴维•E•卡德）：（美国，加利福利亚州伯克利，加州大学伯克利分校）
对实证微观经济学的推进

太专业了 不大懂

两人分享

在别的论坛上看到以下分析的内容，感觉挺有道理的，愿与大家分享。我也支持ROMER and BARRO。

It is interesting to look at the Nobel Symposia on economics, because in the past, most of the time, the year following the symposium on a special field someone from that field won the Nobel:
1990 symposium on contracts, 1991 Ronald Coase won;
1993 Symposium on game theory, 1994 Nash and Harsaniy won;
1999 symposium on economic transition, 2001 Stiglitz won;
2001 symposium on behavioural, 2002 Kannehman and Smith;
2008 symposium on organisation, 2009 Olstrom and Williamason win.

Last symposium is 2012 on Growth and development, 2013 will probably be someone in that field … Most of the time the winners attended the symposium. It is too soon to reward Duflo, Banerjii and Acemoglu (who talked at the symposium), but I guess it is now time for Barro and Romer to win it (they also were at the symposium). Lucas who was also present already won it, so:

ROMER and BARRO :)

   水平有限，学习中，勿喷。个人也同意佩兹曼吧，他是芝加哥大学布斯商学院荣休经济学教授，曾提出“佩兹曼效应”，指出人们对于监管的反射性倾向。

心里排位：巴罗、波斯纳、迪克西特，曼昆。

support

弄不来

应该是新兴经济学领域吧，传统经济学我看可能不大

Joshua D. Angrist
使用准实验研究设计（如工具变量）研究公共政策对经济或社会的影响变化。代表著作：《基本无害的计量经济学》
Sir David F. Hendry
发表了大量关于计量经济学的方法，理论，建模，和历史，数控技术;计算;实证经济学和经济预测。