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英文文献：Interpretive Evaluation: E?ects of Confirmation Bias on the Retribution to Talent-确认偏误解释评价:E?特征在报复人才
英文文献作者：Marcelo Denis Woo
英文文献摘要：
This work studies the e?ects of confirmation bias on the retribution to unobservable talent in a competitive labor market. Under evaluation with confirmatory-bias, the candidate always exerts a positive level of ef- fort to influence information, but e?ort decreases over time, converging to zero. While Bayesian beliefs converge at linear rate t to the true tal- ent, confirmatory-biased beliefs converge at an exponential rate 2t to a weighted average between talent and the initial prejudice. If initial beliefs are biased, then for any prior precision h0 > 0, confirmation-biased wages never converge to the talent, so the Retribution Bias is persistent, even with ad infinitum optimal signalling by the candidate. Thus, confirmation bias becomes a new source of market ine
这项工作研究确认偏误e?特征在报复难以察觉的人才在竞争激烈的就业市场。根据与偏执偏差评估,ef的候选人总是施加积极的水平——堡来影响信息,但e?支持降低随着时间的推移,收敛于零。贝叶斯信念以线性速率t收敛于真实值，而确认偏差信念则以指数速率2t收敛于天赋和初始偏见之间的加权平均值。如果初始信念是有偏差的，那么对于任何先验精度h0 >，确认偏差的工资永远不会向天赋收敛，因此，报应偏差是持续的，即使候选人发出无穷多的最优信号。因此，确认偏差成为一种新的市场资源
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