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英文文献：Empirical Estimates of Demand for Residential Real Estate in a Third World Megacity-第三世界大城市住宅房地产需求的实证估计
英文文献作者：Ajide Kazeem,Akoka -Yaba,Moruf Alabi,Gersh Henshaw
英文文献摘要：
Between 2000 and 2030, the number of people living in cities will jump from fewer than 3 billion to approximately 5 billion and almost all the population increase will be absorbed by the Third World cities. The resultant effect of rapid urbanization in developing world is excessive demand for housing. A vast body of research has been conducted on housing demand but those ones credited to residential real estate in developing economies are still sparse. Also, none of the studies has been able to empirically establish the relevance of different residential density area peculiarities to housing demand. This study aims at estimating residential real estate demand in a Third World megacity of Lagos, Nigeria. Specifically, the study will investigate the main determinants of residential real estate demand in different residential neighbourhoods; and estimates income and price elasticities of the demand for residential real estate by owners and renters in those residential neighbourhoods. The neoclassical consumption theory will provide the theoretical framework on which this study will be anchored. The data for this research will be obtained from both primary and secondary sources and multinomial logit model will be used to analyze simultaneously tenure choice and residential real estate demand decisions in the various residential neighbourhoods identified. The need for this study becomes crucial given the fact that policymakers and executors in Nigeria have a genuine lack of understanding about the operations of the urban residential real estate market. Knowledge of the residential real estate demand parameters is one of the critical elements in designing residential real estate projects and inaccurately foreseeing their impact.
从2000年到2030年，居住在城市的人口数量将从不足30亿猛增到大约50亿，几乎所有增加的人口将被第三世界城市吸收。发展中国家快速城市化的结果是住房需求过度。人们对住房需求进行了大量研究，但那些被归功于发展中经济体的住宅房地产的研究仍然很少。此外，没有一项研究能够实证地建立不同居住密度区域的特性与住房需求的相关性。本研究旨在估计第三世界大城市尼日利亚拉各斯的住宅房地产需求。具体而言，本研究将调查不同社区住宅房地产需求的主要决定因素;并估计这些居民区的业主和租客对住宅房地产需求的收入弹性和价格弹性。新古典主义消费理论将为本研究提供理论框架。本研究的数据将从第一手资料和二手资料中获得，并将使用多项logit模型同时分析在已确定的各个居民区中的使用权选择和住宅房地产需求决策。鉴于尼日利亚的决策者和执行者对城市住宅房地产市场的运作缺乏真正的了解，这项研究的必要性变得至关重要。住宅房地产需求参数的知识是住宅房地产项目设计和不准确预测其影响的关键因素之一。
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