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[宏观经济指标] 一些经济学英文论文下载,大家新年快乐,年后发送30篇免费的   [推广有奖]

101
幸福的爱豆(未真实交易用户) 发表于 2015-2-1 22:01:02 来自手机
sjfsong 发表于 2015-1-14 12:58
乱七八糟的英文论文一大堆,有空就传点,顺便赚点分,下载,嘿嘿。
另外,有人特别需要哪方面的,可以短消 ...
感谢楼主分享

102
sjfsong(未真实交易用户) 发表于 2015-2-3 14:13:11
Fiscal Devaluations in the Euro Area: What has been done since the crisis?

In recent years, the concept of a fiscal devaluation has been advocated as fiscal policy alternative to nominal exchange rate devaluations for peripheral deficit countries in the euro area to regain competitiveness. This paper investigates if countries in the euro area implemented fiscal devaluations in the aftermath of the economic and financial crisis and if so, how these reforms are expected to affect their competitiveness positions. Despite much discussion, no country has yet undertaken a substantial fiscal devaluation. Some (targeted) reductions in social security contributions were introduced, mainly to create job incentives, while consumption taxes (VAT) were increased – in some cases substantially – mainly for consolidation purposes. Although countries could benefit from a fiscal devaluation, their feasibility is politically constraint and effects are likely to be small in magnitude relative to the size of economic problems. Overall, fiscal devaluations cannot be a substitute for deep structural reforms that are urgently needed to address the underlying weaknesses of European economies.


taxation_paper_47.pdf (639.55 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)

103
sjfsong(未真实交易用户) 发表于 2015-2-3 14:22:41
Effectiveness and transmission of the ECB’s balance sheet policies

We estimate the effects of exogenous innovations to the balance sheet of the ECB since the start of the financial crisis within a structural VAR framework. An expansionary balance sheet shock stimulates bank lending, stabilizes financial markets, and has a positive impact on economic activity and prices. The effects on bank lending and output turn out to be smaller in the member countries that have been more affected by the financial crisis, in particular those countries where the banking system is less well-capitalized.
n.pdf (1.08 MB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)

104
sjfsong(未真实交易用户) 发表于 2015-2-3 14:24:44
A Parallel Currency Proposal for the Stronger Euro-States

It is argued that the stronger member states of the European Monetary Union should find their way out of the Euro in order to avoid being dragged into a disastrous course of inflation and over-indebtedness by the weaker members. A sudden exit would presumably cause financial turmoil as well as political damage and is, thus, no realistic option. However, by creating a parallel currency called “Hard-Euro” as an intermediate solution, there would indeed be a way of separating the EMU into two parts, with a weaker Euro in the southern countries and a stronger Euro in the northern countries. Using a small macro-model, the paper discusses this idea and its economic consequences in more detail. Following the early idea of separating the functions of money by Eisler (1932), the Hard-Euro is invented in the form of a pure book-money, while the Euro is still the only cash money until further notice. The Hard-Euro is designed as an index-currency such that its exchange rate exactly compensates for the inflation rate of the common Euro. Hence, it is absolutely stable in terms of consumer prices, and at the same time the exchange rate can never overshoot. By this means, savers in the stronger member states are protected from both inflation and financial repression, while the weaker member states can improve their competitiveness by inflating the Euro. It is shown, that this approach is likely to increase both investment and total output in the EMU. Later on, this intermediate regime could be substituted by the definite separation of the Euro-Zone into a stronger northern and a weaker southern part.

n2.pdf (489.52 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)



105
sjfsong(未真实交易用户) 发表于 2015-2-3 14:29:04
Ending the Euro Crisis?

All of the attempts to end the euro crisis and to return the Eurozone countries to healthy growth rates of income and employment have failed. The options that are currently being discussed are not likely to be more successful. If there is a politically feasible way out of the crisis, it will be through revenue neutral fiscal incentives adopted by the individual Eurozone countries. I describe some of these fiscal options after reviewing the history of failed attempts and the options that are currently on the table.

n3.pdf (298.35 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)

106
sjfsong(未真实交易用户) 发表于 2015-2-3 14:33:12
Market sentiments and the sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone

In this paper we test two theories of the determination of the government bond spreads in a monetary union. The first one is based on the efficient market theory. According to this theory, the surging spreads observed from 2010 to the middle of 2012 were the result of deteriorating fundamentals (e.g. domestic government debt, external debt, competitiveness, etc.). The second theory recognizes that collective movements of fear and panic can have dramatic effects on spreads. These movements can drive the spreads away from underlying fundamentals, very much like in the stock markets prices can be gripped by a bubble pushing them far away from underlying fundamentals. The implication of that theory is that while fundamentals cannot be ignored, there is a special role for the central bank that has to provide liquidity in times of market panic, so as to avoid that countries are pushed into a bad equilibrium. We tested these theories and concluded that there is strong evidence for the second theory. The policy implications are that the role of the ECB as lender of last resort in the government bond markets is an important one. The recent attempts by the German Constitutional Court risk undermining this role and by the same token the stability of the Eurozone.

815422318.pdf (2.89 MB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)

107
sjfsong(未真实交易用户) 发表于 2015-2-3 15:51:08
Does Proximity Matter in the Choice of Partners in Collaborative R&D Projects? – An Empirical Analysis of Granted Projects in Germany

This paper contributes to the discussion on the importance of physical distance in the emergence of cross-region collaborative Research and Development (R&D) interactions. The proximity theory, and its extensions, is used as a theoretical framework. A spatial interaction model for count data was implemented for the empirical analysis of German data from the period from 2005 to 2010. The results show that all tested proximity measurements (geographical, cognitive, social and institutional proximity) have a significant positive influence on collaboration intensity. The proximity paradox, however, cannot be confirmed for geographical, social and institutional proximity, but for cognitive proximity.


n4.pdf (494.67 KB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)

108
sjfsong(未真实交易用户) 发表于 2015-2-3 18:14:30
815421753.pdf (794.37 KB) Does interbank market matter for business cycle fluctuation? An estimated DSGE model with financial frictions for the Euro area

The aim of this paper is to assess the impact of the interbank market on the business cycle fluctuations. In order to do that, we build a DSGE model with heterogeneous households and banks. The surplus bank can allocate its resources between interbank lending and risk free government bonds. This portfolio choice is affected by an exogenous counterpart risk shock on the interbank lending. An increase of the counterpart risk diverts funds from the interbank markets toward the risk free market. This mechanism allow us to capture the collapse of the interbank market and the fly to quality mechanism underlying the 2007 financial crisis. The main result is that an interbank riskiness shock seems to explain part of the 2007 downturn and especially the rise of the interest rates on the credit market during and just after the financial turmoil.


109
sjfsong(未真实交易用户) 发表于 2015-2-3 18:20:17
European economic and monetary union sovereign debt markets

This paper focuses on developments in the European Economic and Monetary Union sovereign debt markets in the past decade. The ?rst part analyzes the integration and segmentation structure of the bond markets of the Economic and Monetary Union before and after the sovereign debt crisis, by introducing the novel concept of correlation-based stable networks. Accordingly, a fair integration is observed between the bond markets during the pre-crisis period. However, a strict segmentation emerges, separating the members struggling with debt problems and the ones with relatively strong ?scal performances during the sovereign debt turmoil. The segmentation structure is clearly visualized, revealing the potential paths for crisis and recovery transmission in the future. In the second part, the paper comments on the recent decreasing trend in Economic and Monetary Union member bond yields and their increasing degree of co-movement. Accordingly, the paper argues that these changes do not depend on the ?scal performances of the member countries, but depend on the illusion of quality that appeared with the Fed (U.S. Federal Reserve) tapering signals in early 2013.
n111111.pdf (1.04 MB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)

110
sjfsong(未真实交易用户) 发表于 2015-2-3 18:21:26
Modeling Money Market Spreads: What Do We Learn about Refinancing Risk?

We quantify the effect of refinancing risk on euro area money market spreads, a major factor driving spreads during the financing crisis. With the advent of the crisis, market participants' perception of their ability to refinance over a given period of time changed radically. As a result, borrowers preferred to obtain funding for longer tenors and lenders were willing to provide funding for shorter tenors. This discrepancy resulted in a need to refinance more frequently in order to borrow over a given horizon, thus increasing refinancing risk. We measure refinancing risk by quantifying the sensitivity of the spread to the refinancing frequency. In order to do so we introduce a model to price EURIBOR-based money market spreads vis-à-vis the overnight index swap. We adopt a methodology akin to a factor model in which the parameters determining the spreads are the intensity of the crisis, its expected half-life, and the sensitivity of spreads to the refinancing frequency. Results suggest that refinancing risk affects the spread significantly across time, albeit in a largely varying manner. Central bank interventions have reduced the spreads as well as the effect of refinancing risk on them.

n222.pdf (1.27 MB, 需要: 1 个论坛币)

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