Analysis of Palm Oil Prices in Ini Local Government Area of Akwa Ibom State...

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英文文献：Analysis of Palm Oil Prices in Ini Local Government Area of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria-尼日利亚阿克瓦伊博姆州Ini地方政府区域的棕榈油价格分析
英文文献作者：Tiku, N.E.,Uduak, O.O.,Ini-mfon, V.P.
英文文献摘要：
The aim of this study was to analyze palm oil prices in Ini Local Government Area of Akwa Ibom State, Nigeria. Palm oil is a major agricultural commodity that is highly commercialized in the Nigeria and has suffered various economic impacts cardinally is the price volatility. In consideration of palm oil price stability, trend analysis, seasonality, cyclical and irregular elements of price volatility were determined. Data were obtained through structured questionnaires administered to 160 randomly selected palm oil marketers. The time series model, measurement of instability factor and index of dynamic price analysis were used. The result revealed that the instability factor was 0.097% and index dynamic price was 58.49%, which shows that palm oil prices were relatively stable during the time of study. The study concluded that there was no incentive to store palm oil as prices are relatively constant over time. Therefore, the study recommended that the marketers should not store palm oil for future sales rather marketers should speculate palm oil trading through prices differential by geographical market locations and not by time difference.

本研究的目的是分析尼日利亚阿克瓦伊博姆州Ini地方政府地区的棕榈油价格。棕榈油在尼日利亚是一种高度商业化的主要农产品，其受到的各种经济影响主要是价格波动。考虑到棕榈油价格的稳定性，确定了价格波动的趋势分析、季节性、周期性和不规则性因素。数据通过随机抽取160名棕榈油营销人员的结构化问卷获得。采用时间序列模型、不稳定因素测度和动态价格分析指标。结果表明，不稳定因子为0.097%，指数动态价格为58.49%，表明研究期间棕榈油价格相对稳定。该研究的结论是，由于价格随时间变化相对稳定，因此没有储藏棕榈油的动机。因此，该研究建议营销人员不应为未来销售而储存棕榈油，而应通过地理市场位置的价格差异而不是时差来投机棕榈油交易。

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