对某一序列进行X12调整后出现这个,寻求大家帮助,万分感谢
Reading input spec file from C:\USERS\EVX12TMP.spc
Reading data from C:\USERS\EVX12TMP.DAT
1
U. S. Department of Commerce, U. S. Census Bureau
X-12 monthly seasonal adjustment Method,
Release Version 0.2.9
This method modifies the X-11 variant of Census Method II
by J. Shiskin A.H. Young and J.C. Musgrave of February, 1967.
and the X-11-ARIMA program based on the methodological research
developed by Estela Bee Dagum, Chief of the Seasonal Adjustment
and Time Series Staff of Statistics Canada, September, 1979.
Primary Programmers: Brian Monsell, Mark Otto
Series Title- M1R
Series Name- M1R
11/29/15 16:49:42.07
-Period covered- 1st month,1994 to 12th month,2007
-Type of run - multiplicative seasonal adjustment
-Sigma limits for graduating extreme values are 1.5 and 2.5 .
-3x3 moving average used in section 1 of each iteration,
3x5 moving average in section 2 of iterations B and C,
moving average for final seasonal factors chosen by Global MSR.
-Spectral plots generated for selected series
-Spectral plots generated for series starting in 2000.Jan
FILE SAVE REQUESTS (* indicates file exists and will be overwritten)
C:\USERS\EVX12TMP.d11 final seasonally adjusted data
C:\USERS\EVX12TMP.out program output file
C:\USERS\EVX12TMP.err program error file
M1R PAGE 1, SERIES M1R
Contents of spc file C:\USERS\EVX12TMP.spc
Line #
------
1: series{
2: title = "M1R"
3: start = 1994.1
4: name = "M1R"
5: file = "C:\USERS\EVX12TMP.DAT"
6: }
7:
8: x11{
9: sigmalim = (1.5,2.5)
10: print = ( +ftestd8 +residualseasf +x11diag +qstat +specsa +specirr)
11: save = ( D11)
12: savelog = (q,q2,fb1,fd8,msf)
13: }
14:
M1R PAGE 2, SERIES M1R
A 1 Time series data (for the span analyzed)
From 1994.Jan to 2007.Dec
Observations 168
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec TOTAL
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1994 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 3.
1995 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 3.
1996 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2.
1997 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 3.
1998 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1.
1999 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2.
2000 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2.
2001 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2.
2002 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2.
2003 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2.
2004 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2.
2005 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1.
2006 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 2.
2007 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 3.
AVGE 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
Table Total- 29.81 Mean- 0.18 Std. Dev.- 0.05
Min - 0.09 Max - 0.32
M1R PAGE 3, SERIES M1R
C 17 Final weights for irregular component
From 1994.Jan to 2007.Dec
Observations 168
Lower sigma limit 1.50
Upper sigma limit 2.50
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec S.D.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1994 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 8.2
1995 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 8.2
1996 100.0 34.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
26.2 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 8.2
1997 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 8.2
1998 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 8.4
1999 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 7.2
2000 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 6.9
2001 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
100.0 29.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 6.0
2002 100.0 100.0 97.0 100.0 0.0 91.6
0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 5.4
2003 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 4.9
2004 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 66.9 100.0 100.0 4.5
2005 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 4.0
2006 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 4.0
2007 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 4.0
M1R PAGE 4, SERIES M1R