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罗辑思维新推的好书，金融时报2015好书榜书籍
这是英文mobi格式版，供大家下载
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters."
Superforecasting_ The Art and Science of Prediction - Philip E. Tetlock & Dan .mobi
(1.9 MB, 需要: 2 个论坛币)
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