1.今天你阅读到的有价值的全文内容链接
thinking fast and slow https://bbs.pinggu.org/thread-2373360-1-1.html
2.今天你阅读到的有价值的内容段落摘录
Speaking Of The Fourfold Pattern
“He is tempted to settle this frivolous claim to avoid a freak loss, however unlikely. That’s overweighting of small probabilities. Since he is likely to face many similar problems, he would be better off not yielding.”
“We never let our vacations hang on a last-minute deal. We’re willing to pay a lot for certainty.”
“They will not cut their losses so long as there is a chance of breaking even. This is risk-seeking in the losses.”
“They know the risk of a gas explosion is minuscule, but they want it mitigated. It’s a possibility effect, and they want peace of mind.”
3.今天你阅读到的有价值信息的自我思考点评感想
四象限分析法,平衡概率和得失,这是决策的重要工具
4.昨日你阅读的时间量(小时计算,如0.5小时)
1小时
5.你参与活动至今的总时间量(小时计算,如20小时)
79小时
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