[下载]Advances in Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty

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Advances in Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty (Theory and Decision Library C)
By Mohammed Abdellaoui, John D. Hey


Publisher:   Springer
Number Of Pages:   242
Publication Date:   2008-10
ISBN-10 / ASIN:   3540684360
ISBN-13 / EAN:   9783540684367
Binding:   Hardcover


Contributors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xi
Part I Uncertainty and Information Modeling
Revealed Ambiguity and Its Consequences: Updating . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
P. Ghirardato, F. Maccheroni, and M. Marinacci
Dynamic Decision Making When Risk Perception Depends on Past
Experience . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
M. Cohen, J. Etner, and M. Jeleva
Representation of Conditional Preferences Under Uncertainty . . . . . . . . . . 33
G.B. Asheim
Subjective Information in Decision Making and Communication . . . . . . . . 49
J.D. Stecher
Part II Risk Modeling
Sensitivity Analysis in Decision Making: A Consistent Approach . . . . . . . . 65
E. Borgonovo and L. Peccati
Alternation Bias and the Parameterization of Cumulative Prospect
Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91
K. Kaivanto
Proposing a Normative Basis for the S-Shaped Value Function. . . . . . . . . . 109
M.E. Fabiyi
Part III Experimental Individual Decision Making
Individual Choice from a Convex Lottery Set: Experimental Evidence . . . 121
Temptations and Dynamic Consistency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137
E. Carbone
Monty Hall’s Three Doors for Dummies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151
A. Morone and A. Fiore
Overconfidence in Predictions as an Effect of Desirability Bias. . . . . . . . . . 163
F. Giardini, G. Coricelli, M. Joffily, and A. Sirigu
Part IV Experimental Interactive Decision Making
Granny Versus Game Theorist: Ambiguity in Experimental Games . . . . . 183
J. Eichberger, D. Kelsey, and B.C. Schipper
Guessing Games and People Behaviours: What Can We Learn? . . . . . . . . 205
A. Morone and P. Morone
The Determinants of Individual Behaviour in Network Formation:
Some Experimental Evidence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219

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关键词：uncertainty certainty Uncertain Decision Advances Risk Decision Making uncertainty Advances

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