Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting

是 否 +2 论坛币

k人 参与回答

经管之家送您一份

应届毕业生专属福利!

求职就业群

赵安豆老师微信：zhaoandou666

经管之家联合CDA

送您一个全额奖学金名额~ !

立即领取

感谢您参与论坛问题回答

经管之家送您两个论坛币！

+2 论坛币

Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting
Publisher: University Of Chicago Press
1996
ISBN: 0226978915
This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.

I. THEORIES AND EVIDENCE
1. Macroeconomics and Business Cycles: An Overview
2. Recent Work on Business Cycles in Historical Perspective 20
3. Facts and Factors in the Modern Evolution of U.S. Economic Fluctuations 77
4. Cyclical Aspects of Cost and Price Movements 125
5. Research during the First 50 Years of the National Bureau 164
II. HISTORY AND MEASUREMENT
6. How lrends and Fluctuations Are Observed, Modeled, and Simulated: An Introduction 183
7. Business Cycles and Growth 203
8. The Regularity of Business Cycles 232
9. Econometric Model Simulations and the
Cyclical Characteristics of the Economy 265
III. INDICATORS
10. Cyclical Indicators: Structure, Significance, and Uses 283
11. Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators 316
12. Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes 357
Phillip Braun
IV. FORECASTING
13. On Short-Term Predictions of General Economic Conditions 385
14. An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Aggregate Forecasts 414
15. The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts 444
16. Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts 462
17. Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction
with Louis A. Lambros 492
18. The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting 519
References 535
Author Index 577
Subject Index 585
1 pdf (42 Mb)
15 rar files

扫码加我 拉你入群

请注明：姓名-公司-职位

以便审核进群资格，未注明则拒绝

分享0 收藏7 回帖

关键词：Forecasting Indicators Indicator Business Forecast Theory Business Forecasting History Cycles

我也是花钱买来的.

要不然国庆期间免费,上班再收币吧

没想到是第一个下的 呵呵 很好的资料 谢谢分享

算了吧,不收费了,请各位一定要将其下载完,然后再解压part1

下载请留个言

谢谢了，这资源找到感觉真的不容易

骗子啊，大家不用下了

不错，谢谢楼主奉献。
可以解压。全部下完后，只对part1解压，就可以了。

betterisbest 发表于 2009-11-1 01:14
骗子啊，大家不用下了

自己不会下载，反说别人骗子，公理何在？
请将全部附件下载，解part1即可。