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英文文献：Spatial Endogenous Fire Risk and Efficient Fuel Management and Timber Harvest-空间内生性火灾风险和有效的燃料管理和木材收获
英文文献作者：Konoshima, Masashi,Montgomery, Claire A.,Albers, Heidi J.,Arthur, Jeffrey L.
英文文献摘要：
This paper integrates a spatial fire behavior model and a stochastic dynamic optimization model to determine the optimal spatial pattern of fuel management and timber harvest. Each year's fire season causes the loss of forest values and lives in the western US. This paper uses a multi-plot analysis and incorporates uncertainty about fire ignition locations and weather conditions to inform policy by examining the role of spatial endogenous risk - where management actions on one stand affect fire risk in that and adjacent stands. The results support two current strategies, but question two other strategies, for managing forests with fire risk.
本文结合空间火灾行为模型和随机动态优化模型，确定了燃料管理和木材采收的最优空间模式。每年的火灾季节都会造成美国西部森林价值和生命的损失。本文使用了多小区分析，并结合了火灾点位置和天气条件的不确定性，通过检查空间内生性风险的作用来为政策提供信息。研究结果支持了目前的两种策略，但质疑了另外两种管理有火灾风险森林的策略。
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