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英文文献：Comparing long monthly Chinese and selected European temperature series using the Vector Seasonal Shifting Mean and Covariance Autoregressive model-利用矢量季节移动均值和协方差自回归模型比较中国和选定欧洲的长月温度序列
英文文献作者：Changli He,Jian Kang,Timo Ter?svirta,Shuhua Zhang
英文文献摘要：
The purpose of this paper is to study differences in long monthly Asian and European temperature series. The longest available Asian series are those of Beijing and Shanghai, and they are compared with the ones for St Petersburg, Dublin and Uccle that have a rather different climate. The comparison is carried out in the Vector Shifting Mean and Covariance Autoregressive model that the authors have previously used to analysed 20 long European temperature series. This model gives information about mean shifts in these five temperature series as well as (error) correlations between them. The results suggest, among other things, that warming has begun later in China than in Europe, but that the change in the summer months in both Beijing and Shanghai has been quite rapid.
本文的目的是研究长月亚洲和欧洲的温度序列的差异。亚洲地区可供选择的最长的是北京和上海的，与气候相当不同的圣彼得堡、都柏林和乌克兰的相比。这一比较是在矢量移动均值和协方差自回归模型中进行的，该模型之前曾用于分析20个长时间的欧洲温度序列。该模型提供了这五个温度序列的平均值变化以及它们之间的(误差)相关性的信息。研究结果表明，除其他外，中国的气候变暖开始得比欧洲晚，但北京和上海夏季的变化却相当迅速。
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