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As 2017 draws to a close, the combination of good global growth and low inflation has seen risk assets move substantially higher. However, despite the strong gains, the rally has been among the most unloved in history, as many investors have remained on the sidelines, worried about valuation and the risk of further shocks.
Over the following 96 pages we provide detailed forecasts for the global economy and major markets.
While the consensus remains nervous, we feel that the global economy has finally moved onto a stronger footing, with above average growth likely to persist over 2018, notwithstanding a slowdown in China. This, combined with still low interest rates should see current ‘goldilocks’ conditions continue well into 2018. We note, however, that investors should make hay while the sun shines, as 2019 is likely to be more dangerous as stronger wages and inflation in the US along with the first rate hike in Europe, collide with further China weakness.
20171128-Macquarie-2018 Global Economic and Market Outlook：Make Hay While the S.pdf
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