1.主题
Elliott Wave Theory
http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:market_analysis:introduction_to_elliott_wave_theory
2.摘要&点评
It claims that crowd behavior produces patterns and trends we see in markets and the wave pattern as defined by Elliott is the physical manifestation of mass psychology in our world. ==波浪理论是群体心理的行为外化;
There are three rules for Motive Wave formation that must be satisfied:
Wave 2 always retraces (gives back) less than 100% of Wave 1.
Wave 4 always retraces less than 100% of Wave 3.
Wave 3 always travels beyond the end of Wave 1 and is never the shortest wave.
A 5-3 structure is the minimum requirement to achieve both fluctuation and progress in an up or down direction. Markets fluctuate - rise and fall - and they advance either up or down as they progress.==进五退三,以退为进。
A fractal is a curve or geometric figure, each part of which has the same statistical character as the whole, and anything that resembles this type of formation is said to be fractal. Within the Elliott Wave structure, this is evidenced by the expanding and contracting similarity of wave structures. In theory, this pattern expands to infinity and shrinks to infinity and constitutes what is known as a fractal, or an infinitely contracting and expanding pattern.==五浪模式可以向宏观收缩与向微观扩展,从而创造了股价结构的波动外观;
The Guideline of Scale is really a technique of looking at the market and is often applied when creating channel projections. It simply states that one should use both an arithmetic scale chart and a semi-log scale chart when looking at Elliott Waves. Arithmetic scale charts are good for looking at waves on lower degrees, but semi-log scale charts are good for bringing large trends (higher degrees) into perspective. A channel may work nicely on a semi-log scale, whereas on an arithmetic scale it may not.==算术坐标与半对数坐标并用画出通道线,算术坐标显示低级别波浪,对数坐标显示高级别波浪;
3.心得感悟
主要是EWP的心理基础:
When markets move against the trend of one higher degree, they do so with an apparent struggle. This resistance prevents the pattern that forms from developing a motive type of structure, and the patterns that form are more varied than in the motive wave type.==幸福的佳通都一样,不幸的家庭各有各的不幸。
Wave “personality” is the reflection of mass psychology acting in the market - the emotions that flow from optimism to pessimism, creating the structures we see in the market. ==群体心理的悲喜流转造就了股市心电图;
Wave E shows up as the last wave in horizontal triangles. It will often stage a false break of the trend line on the boundary of the triangle before the market takes off in the opposite direction. If the triangle was a Wave 4 in a rising impulse, it would instill a bearish conviction before the market shot up to produce Wave 5. Thus Wave E is often attended with emotional psychology playing against the investor.==心眼儿最多的就是浪E:反向假突破,仅此一招,坑苦一大片。
If you persist in applying the rules, eliminating non-conforming counts, and looking at the personality of the waves you are counting, you will find satisfaction in applying the Elliott Wave theory. You will prove to yourself that the market indeed does conform to these patterns and that there is meaning behind them.==数浪并不是技术活儿,而是观察波浪的脾气秉性,然后去做数浪的这点儿手工活,这就叫攻心为上,因为波浪背后隐藏着千古不变的叵测人心;
4.5时间统计
昨日阅读5小时,累计90小时
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