楼主: feng-pan
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交易纪录   [推广有奖]

781
feng-pan 发表于 2010-10-28 21:30:35

我的导师对昨天的头肩顶的看法

他是对冲基金出来的。所以观点很有代表性:
yesterday a pretty nice head and shoulders formed on the sandp
we didnt quiet touch the neckline
but got to within 3 ticks of it which I would say is a test and held well
there could be a test of there again but I still think sandp needs to go and test 120750 area before a bigger move down
my view will change if this neckline can break cleanly
although I still think the 120750 area will test before the end of the year
while it remains above the neckline I think there Is a good chance of 120750 testing in the next few weeks, but a lot will depend on what happens regarding qe2
(这里面所指的点位都是标普迷你12月合约的点位,120750是迷你合约连续价格的全年高点)

1028S&P.JPG

782
feng-pan 发表于 2010-10-28 21:37:29

10.28 US open

由于昨天的头肩型态失效(但后面仍可能演变成复杂头肩型态,需要继续观察),并且昨天的低点处的支撑被再次确认,所以在出现进一步技术信号之前,暂且把标普这周的高低点之间当作横盘区域来看待。总体策略为高卖低买,具体视日内情况而定。  由于三个交易日之后就是FOMC,现在盘面没有明确的信息也算是正常现象。

783
feng-pan 发表于 2010-10-29 00:56:13

10.28 US mid-day

Lots of selling pressure on the upside today, with mutual funds managers taking their profits at the end of the month.

Nothing much has changed in the technicals, price still in a side way range. complex head and shoulders pattern is still passible.

Not expecting anything major to happen before the FOMC next week.

784
feng-pan 发表于 2010-10-29 05:46:19

10.28 US close

http://mrtopstep.com/2010/10/28/equity-report-1028/

A very interesting point made by this report:
“everyone now has a reason to be short” and what happens if EVERYONE is wrong?

785
zj35777940 发表于 2010-10-29 11:53:40
哥们,你这个做的有点乱。。。首先把握大趋势。。。

786
feng-pan 发表于 2010-10-29 19:19:43
zj35777940 发表于 2010-10-29 11:53
哥们,你这个做的有点乱。。。首先把握大趋势。。。
应该怎么做?

787
江湖小虾米 发表于 2010-10-29 20:37:26
请问楼主,784楼的,Nothing much has changed in the technicals, price still in a side way range
in a side way range译回中文是什么意思呢?
重新出发,决别过去的失败

788
江湖小虾米 发表于 2010-10-29 21:33:29
下面这个是个三角形吗?应该还要等到进一步的确认吧?

1.png (53.98 KB)

1.png

重新出发,决别过去的失败

789
feng-pan 发表于 2010-10-29 22:05:53
江湖小虾米 发表于 2010-10-29 20:37
请问楼主,784楼的,Nothing much has changed in the technicals, price still in a side way range
in a side way range译回中文是什么意思呢?
技术上没有什么改变,价格仍然在一个横盘区域里面。(1190-1176的小区域,1196-1170的大区域,现货价格)

790
feng-pan 发表于 2010-10-29 22:13:53
789# 江湖小虾米

可以的,对称三角形处在上升趋势中。  如果上沿再得到一次确认就更好,说明市场认可这个三角形。但三角突破的最佳时机是宽度的3/2,所以如果周一价格还在三角形里面的话,就应该失效了。  

由于时间点的关系,下周二周三有FOMC的重大声明,所以不期望市场在此之前有重大动作。应此我自己把技术判断为横盘,1190-1176的小区域,1196-1170的大区域(现货价格)

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