2020年，中国将会是一个非常穷的国家！（来自美国兰德公司的著名研究报告）

I am not sure the title of this post truthfully reflects the content of the RAND report.
I only read the summary part of that report and felt it was mostly positive, unlike most of the fears or negatives presented by most comments on this post.
One needs to be truthful to facts.
The following is the last paragraph of that summary:
"China’s success is one of the most important developments of modern history, but
projecting from current growth to Chinese global dominance or threats to our way of life
is just wrong. Unlike the old Soviet Union, reformist China does not seek to alter any
other country’s way of life. Its economy faces world history’s most severe combination
of banking, urbanization and employment challenges, and by 2020 a demographic
squeeze that will have few workers supporting many dependents. The best outcome for
us would be a China that is eventually like Japan, prosperous, winning in some sectors,
losing in others. Signs that China is making rapid progress in that direction should be
welcomed, not feared."

中国如果不对经济严重依靠房地产和劳动密集型产业进行彻底快速的治理,不尽快改变教育现状,实行股份制高校建设,使高校管理民主化,那么就不可能进入创新国家行列,贫穷不可避免

22# bjf813
楼主还开药方啊！

资源也没了 社会制度也面临窘境  呵呵 不穷才怪

根本没富裕过啊，一直都是啊

美国人的分析还是大概看一下就可以了，就像他们解释不了中国的发展一样，很多东西他们是不可能明白的

穷不穷不知道 这样发展下去不会太强

大概浏览了一下，没有看到楼主的观点。

不管怎么样，还是希望中国越来越强大，老百姓生活质量越来越好....

要相信自己的国家啦 哈哈