Are We Risking Too Much? Perspectives on Risk in Farm Modelling and Farm Ma...

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英文文献：Are We Risking Too Much? Perspectives on Risk in Farm Modelling and Farm Management
英文文献作者：Pannell, David J.,Malcolm, Bill,Kingwell, Ross S.
英文文献摘要：
Risk and uncertainty have been extensively studied by agricultural economists. In this paper we question some practices and beliefs which arc common among agricultural economists. The most important of these arc (a) the predominant use of static (strategic) frameworks to formally analyse risk, (b) the predominant focus on risk aversion as the motivation for considering risk, (c) the idea that stochastic (i.e. explicitly probabilistic) models are likely to he helpful to farmers in their decision making and (d) the idea that study of risk in agriculture is likely to he an area of especially high social returns.

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