[经济学] 新冠肺炎应对需要扩大金融包容性以遏制上升 在贫困中 [推广有奖]

摘要翻译：
正在进行的新冠肺炎疫情有可能抹去多年来在减少全球贫困方面取得的进展。在本文中，我们利用78个低收入和中低收入国家的跨国数据，探讨金融普惠在多大程度上有助于缓解贫困的增加。与最近的其他跨国研究不同，我们表明，金融包容性是这些国家减贫的一个关键驱动力。这种影响不是直接的，而是通过减轻不平等对贫穷的有害影响而间接产生的。我们的发现在所有不同的贫困衡量标准中都是一致的。我们的预测表明，到2021年，世界每天生活费不到1.90美元的人口可能从8%增加到14%，将近4亿人推向贫困。然而，迫切改进金融普惠可以大大减少对贫困的影响。
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英文标题：
《COVID-19 response needs to broaden financial inclusion to curb the rise
  in poverty》
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作者：
Mostak Ahamed and Roxana Guti\'errez-Romero
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最新提交年份：
2020
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分类信息：

一级分类：Economics        经济学
二级分类：Econometrics        计量经济学
分类描述：Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论，微观计量经济学，宏观计量经济学，通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容，统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
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英文摘要：
  The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic risks wiping out years of progress made in reducing global poverty. In this paper, we explore to what extent financial inclusion could help mitigate the increase in poverty using cross-country data across 78 low- and lower-middle-income countries. Unlike other recent cross-country studies, we show that financial inclusion is a key driver of poverty reduction in these countries. This effect is not direct, but indirect, by mitigating the detrimental effect that inequality has on poverty. Our findings are consistent across all the different measures of poverty used. Our forecasts suggest that the world's population living on less than $1.90 per day could increase from 8% to 14% by 2021, pushing nearly 400 million people into poverty. However, urgent improvements in financial inclusion could substantially reduce the impact on poverty.
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PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2006.10706