The best trades are the ones in which you have all three things going for you: fundamentals, technicals, and market tone. 最好的交易就是有三件事情都对你有利：基本面，技术面和市场氛围。 First, the fundamentals should suggest that there is an imbalance of supply and demand, which could result in a major move. 首先基本面显示市场的供需关系不平衡，所以可能会有大的趋势产生。 Second, the chart must show that the market is moving in the direction that the fundamentals suggest. 其次图表显示价格走势和基本面符合。 Third, when news comes out, the market should act in a way that reflects the right psychological tone. 第三，当新闻公布后市场反应出的心态应该是准确的。
Crude Inventories Surge To Record High As Energy Demand Collapses Submitted by Tyler Durden on 05/01/2013 11:38 -0400 Crude None Railcar Loadings Reality A month ago we highlighted the somewhat stunning reality of the real economy via the EIA's detailed energy supply and demand data. The key takeaway was that we hoped this did not represent the true state of the economy since the data was so dismal. Fast forward to today and the DOE just released a much higher than expected build in crude inventories that took the stuffed-channel of oil products to all-time highs. The 395.3 million barrels is higher than the previous record in July 1990. There appears to be a number of factors at play - none of which are positive. There is a surge in supply due to the incessant harvesting of shale oil (which could have its own problems as we noted here ). Second, we suspect there is a degree of 'channel-stuffing' occurring - if we pump it, they will buy - as producers and transporters are desperate to keep active and show incremental business (despite fading railcar loadings). But perhaps most important, as EIA data has shown , there has been a collapse in end demand for crude products not seen since the 1990s. Today's surge in inventories appears to confirm demand remains subdued at best. Chart: Bloomberg
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