tag 标签: calling经管大学堂：名校名师名课

相关帖子

 版块 作者 回复/查看 最后发表
Financial intelligence ，2013版，Revised Edition attachment 会计与财务管理 mmkkpp 2014-3-26 3 4370 jusebbt 2017-11-8 10:19:24
关于倾向得分匹配分析命令psmatch2的使用 Stata专版 Mandyyu 2014-3-20 4 21579 zabbyy 2017-9-22 11:38:00
paretotails 出错 attachment MATLAB等数学软件专版 oval 2012-4-11 12 4458 mqlts 2013-12-17 23:19:51
20121009 512: Romney fires big bird 真实世界经济学(含财经时事) xrym 2012-10-8 0 1218 xrym 2012-10-8 22:20:09
Fed Presidents Differ Over Ability to Boost Growth attach_img 真实世界经济学(含财经时事) 榄外人L 2011-10-18 0 1374 榄外人L 2011-10-18 21:44:34
亚洲calling (telecom industry) attachment 行业分析报告 leeup866 2009-9-1 1 1971 leon_town 2009-9-1 17:34:56
更多...

相关日志

分享 Opinion: Dow Transports are calling bull on the stock market’s rise
insight 2015-3-26 10:27
Opinion: Dow Transports are calling bull on the stock market’s rise By Mark Hulbert Published: Mar 25, 2015 3:37 p.m. ET 112 The index may be signaling that the economy is stalling CHAPEL HILL, N.C. (MarketWatch) — It’s been four months since the Dow Jones Transportation Average DJT, -2.03% hit its all-time high. Should you be worried? Those who say “no” can point to more recent strength in the broader market averages. Just three weeks ago, for example, the SP 500 SPX, -1.46% reached a record. But others aren’t so sanguine. Some argue that the transportation sector is a leading economic indicator, reasoning that companies transporting goods to market will exhibit weakness when a recession looms. And the Dow Transports are now 4.3% below a high of 9,310.22 from Nov. 28, and 3.4% below a closing high of 9,217.44 on Dec. 29. Statistical support for considering the transportation sector to be a leading indicator comes from the Bureau of Transportation Statistics in the U.S. Department of Transportation. Several years ago, in a study titled “ The Freight Transportation Services Index as a Leading Economic Indicator ,” that bureau found that this index over the past three decades “led slowdowns in the economy by an average of four to five months.” To be sure, not all transportation-industry benchmarks are exhibiting as much weakness as the Dow Transports. Just a week ago, for example, the SP Transportation Select Industry Index XTN, +1.23% drove to a new all-time high. But the SP transportation index is less heavily weighted to freight-transport companies than the Dow Transports — and it is the freight sector of the transportation industry that appears to have the greatest success as a leading economic indicator. The stock with the largest weighting in the SP Transportation Select Industry Index is car-rental company Hertz Global Holdings HTZ, +0.05% while FedEx FDX, +0.08% has the biggest weighting in the Dow Jones Transportation Index. Furthermore, even though the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Freight Transportation Services Index is reported with a six-week time lag, it is telling the same story as the Dow Transports: It shows a top being hit in November of last year. Since then, the index has declined two months in a row, according to the department’s latest release. Advisers paying close attention to the transportation sectors are followers of the Dow Theory. That’s because, according to at least some of the Dow Theorists I monitor, the Dow Transports must close above its Dec. 29 closing high to reconfirm that stocks remain in a bull market (above 9,217.44, in other words). If it fails to do so, and the broad market instead proceeds to break below its January lows, then the primary trend will be considered bearish. In the meantime, according to Jack Schannep, editor of TheDowTheory.com, the market remains “betwixt and between” these bullish and bearish trigger levels. Until the market plays its hand, we wait. For how long must we do so? Schannep, in an email earlier this week, told me that it theoretically could be quite some time. That’s because, according to the Dow Theory, “there is no set time for confirmation to occur after divergence.” Furthermore, since the Dow Theory considers the last signal to remain in force until reversed, and that last signal was bullish, the primary trend is presumed to remain up. There is a catch, however, according to Schannep: “The longer it takes for the market to reconfirm a bull trend, the more suspect that trend becomes.” So the bull market has its work cut out for it. Click here to inquire about subscriptions to the Hulbert Sentiment Indexes. STOCK REFERENCES DJT -180.99 -2.03% SPX -30.45 -1.46% XTN +1.31 +1.23% HTZ +0.01 +0.05% SHOW ALL REFERENCES MORE NEWS FROM MARKETWATCH Top Stories Trending Recommended Stocks are overpriced, overleveraged, headed for trouble U.S. stocks hammered as fears about quarterly results intensify Dow Transports are calling bull on the stock market’s rise Saudi Arabia launches military operations in Yemen Why more U.S. colleges will go under in the next few years DATA PR You’re Getting Ready To Retire… Is Your Money… TalkMarkets Recommended by MARK HULBERT Mark Hulbert has been tracking the advice of more than 160 financial newsletters since 1980. Subscribe now to Mark’s premium newsletters and get 30 days free.
个人分类: Business cycle|19 次阅读|0 个评论
更多...

京ICP备16021002号-2 京B2-20170662号 京公网安备 11010802022788号 论坛法律顾问：王进律师 知识产权保护声明   免责及隐私声明

GMT+8, 2025-12-26 05:22