Date: 03/01/11 Time: 19:48
Sample: 7/26/2005 2/18/2011
Included observations: 1358
Autocorrelation Partial Correlation AC PAC Q-Stat Prob
| | | | 1 0.051 0.051 3.5610 0.059
| | | | 2 -0.024 -0.027 4.3444 0.114
| | | | 3 0.053 0.056 8.1652 0.043
| | | | 4 -0.029 -0.036 9.3057 0.054
| | | | 5 0.019 0.026 9.8167 0.081
| | | | 6 0.048 0.041 12.941 0.044
| | | | 7 0.053 0.054 16.818 0.019
| | | | 8 -0.008 -0.015 16.907 0.031
| | | | 9 0.024 0.025 17.665 0.039
| | | | 10 0.028 0.022 18.767 0.043
| | | | 11 0.060 0.063 23.743 0.014
| | | | 12 0.055 0.043 27.925 0.006
| | | | 13 -0.018 -0.025 28.369 0.008
| | | | 14 0.061 0.060 33.498 0.002
| | | | 15 0.026 0.016 34.442 0.003
| | | | 16 0.009 0.010 34.549 0.005
| | | | 17 -0.002 -0.019 34.552 0.007
| | | | 18 -0.009 -0.015 34.661 0.010
|* | |* | 19 0.090 0.088 45.741 0.001
|* | | | 20 0.077 0.066 54.019 0.000
| | | | 21 0.014 -0.001 54.279 0.000
| | | | 22 0.008 -0.004 54.370 0.000
| | | | 23 0.015 0.009 54.677 0.000
| | | | 24 0.005 0.006 54.713 0.000
| | | | 25 -0.024 -0.039 55.515 0.000
| | | | 26 0.008 -0.015 55.600 0.001
| | | | 27 0.037 0.033 57.512 0.001
| | | | 28 0.030 0.029 58.801 0.001
| | | | 29 0.048 0.039 62.008 0.000
| | | | 30 0.033 0.012 63.498 0.000
| | | | 31 0.047 0.035 66.607 0.000
| | | | 32 -0.038 -0.042 68.587 0.000
| | | | 33 0.026 0.023 69.512 0.000
| | | | 34 0.068 0.043 75.938 0.000
|* | |* | 35 0.079 0.076 84.627 0.000
| | | | 36 0.055 0.045 88.789 0.000
所检测序列为人民币汇率对数收益率序列,上述数据中的最后一项P值在滞后11阶之内均大于1%,可是一般的序列自相关检验的显著性水平取5%,这样的话是否意味着该序列存在序列自相关呢?谢谢哪位高手帮忙解答一下~