George E.P. Box, George C. Tiao
1973 608页 pdf版本 清晰 无缺页
http://www.amazon.com/Bayesian-Inference-Statistical-Analysis-Classics/dp/0471574287/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1340721789&sr=1-1&keywords=Bayesian+Inference+in+Statistical+Analysis