清洁水的连锁效应：早期Mills-Reincke现象 二十世纪的日本

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摘要翻译：
这项研究探讨了清洁水的连锁效应的有效性，即在20世纪早期的日本被称为“米尔斯-赖因克现象”。最近的研究报告表明，水净化系统对人力资本做出了巨大贡献。虽然一些研究调查了战前日本供水系统的瞬时效应，但对这些系统的连锁效应知之甚少。通过分析1922-1940年的城市死因死亡率数据，我们发现伤寒死亡率每千人下降一人，非水传播疾病如肺结核和肺炎的死亡风险每千人下降0.742-2.942。我们的发现表明，观察到的Mills-Reincke现象可能导致了20世纪早期日本死亡率的相对快速下降。
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英文标题：
《Chain effects of clean water: The Mills-Reincke phenomenon in early
  twentieth-century Japan》
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作者：
Tatsuki Inoue and Kota Ogasawara
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最新提交年份：
2019
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分类信息：

一级分类：Statistics        统计学
二级分类：Applications        应用程序
分类描述：Biology, Education, Epidemiology, Engineering, Environmental Sciences, Medical, Physical Sciences, Quality Control, Social Sciences
生物学，教育学，流行病学，工程学，环境科学，医学，物理科学，质量控制，社会科学
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一级分类：Economics        经济学
二级分类：Econometrics        计量经济学
分类描述：Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论，微观计量经济学，宏观计量经济学，通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容，统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
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一级分类：Quantitative Biology        数量生物学
二级分类：Populations and Evolution        种群与进化
分类描述：Population dynamics, spatio-temporal and epidemiological models, dynamic speciation, co-evolution, biodiversity, foodwebs, aging; molecular evolution and phylogeny; directed evolution; origin of life
种群动力学；时空和流行病学模型；动态物种形成；协同进化；生物多样性；食物网；老龄化；分子进化和系统发育；定向进化；生命起源
--

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英文摘要：
  This study explores the validity of chain effects of clean water, which are known as the "Mills-Reincke phenomenon," in early twentieth-century Japan. Recent studies have reported that water purifications systems are responsible for huge contributions to human capital. Although some studies have investigated the instantaneous effects of water-supply systems in pre-war Japan, little is known about the chain effects of these systems. By analyzing city-level cause-specific mortality data from 1922-1940, we find that a decline in typhoid deaths by one per 1,000 people decreased the risk of death due to non-waterborne diseases such as tuberculosis and pneumonia by 0.742-2.942 per 1,000 people. Our finding suggests that the observed Mills-Reincke phenomenon could have resulted in the relatively rapid decline in the mortality rate in early twentieth-century Japan.
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PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1805.00875

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关键词：mills 二十世纪 mill Ill Inc 数据 century mortality 死亡 风险