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摘要翻译：
对任何政府来说，确定政策优先次序都是一项具有挑战性的工作，因为可能会有多个目标需要同时实现、多层面的政策空间需要探索、公共政策的执行效率低下、政策问题之间相互依赖等。总之，这些因素造成了一个复杂的环境，政府需要驾驭这些环境才能达到目标。为了解决这一问题，我们开发了一个框架，将发展指标的演变建模为网络上的政治经济学游戏。我们的方法解释了--最近记录的--政策问题之间的溢出网络，以及由预算分配引起的众所周知的政治经济学问题。这使我们不仅可以推断政策优先次序，还可以推断每个政策问题中资源的有效利用。我们使用了100多个国家11年来的发展指标数据，表明具体国家的情况是政策优先事项有效性的一个核心决定因素。此外，我们的模型解释了关于腐败与发展之间关系的众所周知的总体事实。最后，该框架提供了一个新的分析工具，以产生定制的发展战略建议。
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英文标题：
《How do governments determine policy priorities? Studying development
strategies through spillover networks》
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作者：
Omar A. Guerrero, Gonzalo Casta\~neda and Florian Ch\'avez-Ju\'arez
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最新提交年份：
2019
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分类信息：
一级分类：Economics 经济学
二级分类：General Economics 一般经济学
分类描述：General methodological, applied, and empirical contributions to economics.
对经济学的一般方法、应用和经验贡献。
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：Economics 经济学
分类描述：q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学，包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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英文摘要：
Determining policy priorities is a challenging task for any government because there may be, for example, a multiplicity of objectives to be simultaneously attained, a multidimensional policy space to be explored, inefficiencies in the implementation of public policies, interdependencies between policy issues, etc. Altogether, these factor s generate a complex landscape that governments need to navigate in order to reach their goals. To address this problem, we develop a framework to model the evolution of development indicators as a political economy game on a network. Our approach accounts for the --recently documented-- network of spillovers between policy issues, as well as the well-known political economy problem arising from budget assignment. This allows us to infer not only policy priorities, but also the effective use of resources in each policy issue. Using development indicators data from more than 100 countries over 11 years, we show that the country-specific context is a central determinant of the effectiveness of policy priorities. In addition, our model explains well-known aggregate facts about the relationship between corruption and development. Finally, this framework provides a new analytic tool to generate bespoke advice on development strategies.
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PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1902.00432
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