摘要翻译:
虽然世界各地都在鼓励对可再生能源的投资,但这样做的政策工具仍然知之甚少,在许多情况下导致代价高昂的调整不当。作为一个案例,研究了德国上网电价立法所援引的住宅太阳能光伏(PV)的部署动态。本文提出一个模型,说明人们何时投资于住宅光伏系统不仅取决于盈利能力,而且取决于盈利能力相对于现状的变化。这一发现是根据损失厌恶来解释的,损失厌恶是在卡尼曼和特沃斯基的前景理论中发展起来的一个概念。该模型只需很少的金融和行为假设就能再现大部分的吸收动态
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英文标题:
《When Do Households Invest in Solar Photovoltaics? An Application of
Prospect Theory》
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作者:
Martin Klein, Marc Deissenroth
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最新提交年份:
2018
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分类信息:
一级分类:Economics 经济学
二级分类:Econometrics 计量经济学
分类描述:Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论,微观计量经济学,宏观计量经济学,通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容,统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
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英文摘要:
While investments in renewable energy sources (RES) are incentivized around the world, the policy tools that do so are still poorly understood, leading to costly misadjustments in many cases. As a case study, the deployment dynamics of residential solar photovoltaics (PV) invoked by the German feed-in tariff legislation are investigated. Here we report a model showing that the question of when people invest in residential PV systems is found to be not only determined by profitability, but also by profitability's change compared to the status quo. This finding is interpreted in the light of loss aversion, a concept developed in Kahneman and Tversky's Prospect Theory. The model is able to reproduce most of the dynamics of the uptake with only a few financial and behavioral assumptions
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1808.05572


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