《Top performing stocks recommendation strategy for portfolio》
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作者:
Kartikay Gupta and Niladri Chatterjee
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最新提交年份:
2019
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英文摘要:
Stock return forecasting is of utmost importance in the business world. This has been the favourite topic of research for many academicians since decades. Recently, regularization techniques have reported to tremendously increase the forecast accuracy of the simple regression model. Still, this model cannot incorporate the effect of things like a major natural disaster, large foreign influence, etc. in its prediction. Such things affect the whole stock market and are very unpredictable. Thus, it is more important to recommend top stocks rather than predicting exact stock returns. The present paper modifies the regression task to output value for each stock which is more suitable for ranking the stocks by expected returns. Two large datasets consisting of altogether 1205 companies listed at Indian exchanges were used for experimentation. Five different metrics were used for evaluating the different models. Results were also analysed subjectively through plots. The results showed the superiority of the proposed techniques.
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中文摘要:
股票收益预测在商业世界中至关重要。几十年来,这一直是许多学者最喜欢的研究课题。最近,据报道,正则化技术极大地提高了简单回归模型的预测精度。然而,该模型无法在预测中纳入重大自然灾害、巨大外国影响等因素的影响。这些事情会影响整个股市,而且非常不可预测。因此,推荐顶级股票比预测准确的股票回报更重要。本文将回归任务修改为每个股票的产值,这更适合按预期收益对股票进行排序。实验使用了两个大型数据集,共有1205家在印度交易所上市的公司。使用五种不同的指标来评估不同的模型。还通过绘图对结果进行了主观分析。结果表明了所提方法的优越性。
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分类信息:
一级分类:Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类:General Finance 一般财务
分类描述:Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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一级分类:Computer Science 计算机科学
二级分类:Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science 计算工程、金融和科学
分类描述:Covers applications of computer science to the mathematical modeling of complex systems in the fields of science, engineering, and finance. Papers here are interdisciplinary and applications-oriented, focusing on techniques and tools that enable challenging computational simulations to be performed, for which the use of supercomputers or distributed computing platforms is often required. Includes material in ACM Subject Classes J.2, J.3, and J.4 (economics).
涵盖了计算机科学在科学、工程和金融领域复杂系统的数学建模中的应用。这里的论文是跨学科和面向应用的,集中在技术和工具,使挑战性的计算模拟能够执行,其中往往需要使用超级计算机或分布式计算平台。包括ACM学科课程J.2、J.3和J.4(经济学)中的材料。
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