20110714 Follow Me 65 wusi126

谢谢楼主分享

62,62
Everyday when we look at foreign media, 90% of them describing that China is in a big trouble. I don't want to argue this, time willl tell what the truth is. Personnaly I think Li Daokui of PBOC adviser is a gifted guy, I saw him many times on TV in Dialouge, WEF and other forums. When he argues with famous foreign counterparts, he doesn't seem to hehave like many others, he says what he wants to express, he argues in hot debate as whether China has reached a cirical point, among others.

this is a brief paragraph about Chinese current dilemma . also it ironies Chinese foreign exchange control model,   if this problem can not be solved,  only through raising interests and the legal deposit reserve,  the inflation will not be settled thoroughly! china has many similar problems, which must be solved,  but can not be solved. thus, as thepremier wen jiabao said china's development is not continual . i think it is a curse no late -development .

12# eaglestar

Although foreign media keep suspecting our economy, they provide more views for us to observe our country. Basically, they are all telling the truth. At the begining of this year, the inflation target was set as 4% or something, but this month cpi climbed to 6% plus. One of the most important responsibilities of central bank is to keep the inflation in a certain degree. Obviously, PBOC failed to meet its task.

Economists generally expect that the central bank is done raising interest rates this year. But they expect the PBOC to continue increasing the share of deposits that banks must set aside, rather than lend, and many economists have said further rate increases can’t be ruled out—especially if inflation defies expectations that it will start declining in July.
经济学家们通常会预期今年银行会提高利息率。但是他们预期的是PBOC将会继续提高银行存款准备金部分，而不是借贷。同时许多经济学家认为未来升息不排除可能——特别是，如果通胀超出7月的将会开始下降的预期。


Inflation is the problem of superabundant money!

Follow Me: 62, 26

韦森教授喜欢引用UBS的数据，强烈批评中国的信贷投放过度，这种疯狂归结为ZF强烈的投资冲动。
我才发现我们的外汇储备已经是这个大数字。维持汇率引起的外汇占款一直困扰着中国经济，强大的货币压力难以找到释放的途径。
我有个问题是，加息以后，会不会导致热钱流入。之前分析央行为什么不加息，一是国企压力，二是怕热钱。现在真的加了，到底有多大影响？现在的国际经济环境不怎么好，就像最近的一篇FollowMe里说的，新兴市场国家还是好的投资目的地。

国外资本流入减少，国内加息，这不一定是个好消息啊，看ZF如何应对

10-10
中国有通胀？

52、52
inflation is  still  serious. if foreign hot money con tinue comes into then it will be a more difficult  problem.
the gorvenment is  always saying it will contor the price to  avoid complai.  but the effect is small .  inflation is still  commiting.