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雷达卡
Let’s examine bear market recovery times and the relative outperformance by some of the Rules of Wall Street. This is the 16th bear market since 1929. Its more than 50% decline makes it the worst bear market since 1945, and the third worst since 1929. But when this bear market finally ends, be prepared for a fast and furious partial recovery. Figure P.2 shows that in the first year of a new bull market, the average price rise for the S&P 500 was 46%. What’s more, the “500” recovered more than 82%
of the prior bear market’s loss in that first year. I can’t guarantee that the market will respond the same way this time
around, but successful investors play the odds—and the odds point to a surge in the first year of a new bull market.
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