加州工学院的人文与社会科学系,其中的经济学教授有个特点,那就是全是搞微观的,以研究微观理论、金融、行为经济学、政治经济学见长,现在那里是一个主要的行为经济学、神经元经济学、实验金融学、神经元金融学研究中心。
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http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1530263&
Exploring the Nature of 'Trader Intuition'
Antoine Jean Bruguier
California Institute of Technology
Steven R. Quartz
California Institute of Technology
Peter Bossaerts
California Institute of Technology; Swiss Finance Institute; Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne
Journal of Finance, Forthcoming
Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 10-02
Abstract:
Experimental evidence has consistently confirmed the ability of uninformed traders, even novices, to infer information from the trading process. We hypothesized that ToM was involved after contrasting brain activation in subjects watching markets with and without insiders. ToM refers to the innate human capacity to discern malicious or benevolent intent. We find that skill in predicting price changes in markets with insiders correlates with scores on two ToM tests. We document GARCH-like persistence in transaction price changes that may help with reading markets when there are insiders. Number of Pages in PDF File: 102
Accepted Paper Series
Date posted: January 02, 2010 ; Last revised: January 17, 2010


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