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[学科前沿] 巴布森预测图 babson chart [推广有奖]

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有福有德 在职认证  发表于 2012-2-21 16:47:38 |AI写论文

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The Babsonchart (yes, no space) was started in 1906-1907, according to Babson's autobiography where its construction is covered in quite a bit, but not complete, detail in Chapter 13. He acknowledges the acquaintance of Benner, from whom he drew the idea of a composite, and accords George Swain with the idea of drawing a  normal line through the chart.
  and   and
Constructed on the basis of 12 statistical series (4 commercial, 4 monetary and 4 financial), Babson's model had the special feature of combining them by simple addition (after reduction to a common base, the average for 1903 - 1904) into a single index whose fluctuations are intersected by a discretionary average line. It seeks to model a 20-year cycle in four stages: overexpansion, decline, depression, and improvement, which reflects Benner's influence.


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沙发
geokaran 发表于 2015-3-18 17:34:28
good..

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